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Showing 3,265-3,312 of 7,054 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

TX-37 House election: Greg Casar vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Greg Casar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Greg Casar receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Greg Casar receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 36%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 42 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 126000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 145000?Yes 96.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PM $13.4KWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Dane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill David Crowley receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 96%
Will David Crowley receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 96%
Will David Crowley receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 79%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PM $13.4KJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-03 House election: Edwin Rivera vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Edwin Rivera receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Edwin Rivera receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 93%
Will Edwin Rivera receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 20.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-10 House winner?
K 4.8K contractsWill a Democrat win the House race for VA-10?Yes 97.1%
Will a Republican win the House race for VA-10?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?
K 4.8K contractsWill the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New York Governor Election: Turnout
PM $13.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Yes 41%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Yes 14.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 4.8K contractsWill House Majority PAC report more than $95M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 82%
Will House Majority PAC report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will House Majority PAC report more than $110M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $13.3KWill White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes <0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 6th District margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Simi Valley mayoral election winner?
K 4.7K contractsWho will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Mike Judge)Yes 50%
Who will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Kareem Jubran)Yes 50%
Who will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Dee Dee Cavanaugh)Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more?Yes 18.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
K 4.7K contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 13%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 10%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PM $13.2KWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
K 4.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PM $13.2KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 37.5%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 35%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 13.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Darren Bailey receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 84%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Diana Harshbarger receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 85%
Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
PM $13.2KCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.7K contractsWill Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.7K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 75000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 72%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Alan Bradstock receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 95%
Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 42.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 19.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Yvette Clarke receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alabama Senate winner?
PM $13.2K · K 14.2K contractsWill the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alabama?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97%Rules differK Yes 97.5%
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 3% and 6%?Yes 24.5%
Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 6% and 9%?Yes 22.5%
Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CT-01 House Election Winner
PM $13.2KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 4.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
K 4.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 49.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 27%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
PM $13.1KFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?
K 4.7K contractsWill Josh Turek outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?Yes 35.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $13.1KWill Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 51%
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 30%
Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Tommy Tuberville receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 89.5%
Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 78%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.1KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 52%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 39%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 14.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 12.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC