Browse prediction markets

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve CagriSema?

Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 95%

Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%

Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%

OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.8K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%

KalshiElections

Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?

Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?Yes 46%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.3%

ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 85.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.2%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%

Illinois's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 95.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 83%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 79.5%

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 28.9%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 18%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.3%

KalshiElections

Will James Talarico outperform the polls?

Will James Talarico outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas?Yes 38%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 20.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 13.5%

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3

Will Shopify Inc. report Above $110 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will Shopify Inc. report Above $113 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Shopify Inc. report Above $116 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 77.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC

MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%

Arizona's 7th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 94.8%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 94.1%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 92.6%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 40%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?Yes 26%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?Yes 15.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Alabama's 6th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 86%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 49.8%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 40.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 96.5%

Next Mayor of Cape Town?

PM $11.6K

Will Nontando Nolutshungu be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 1%

Will Ernest Theron be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 1%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 80.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 49%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%

MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.6K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 23%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18.4%

PM $11.6K · K 3.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?

Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Kalshi: Will SDA win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.3%Rules differK Yes 61%

Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Kalshi: Will NiP win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 50%

Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Kalshi: Will HDZ BiH win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

VA-06 House election: Ben Cline vote percent

Will Ben Cline receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Ben Cline receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 90.5%

Will Ben Cline receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 78%

CO-01 House election: Chad Humphrey vote percent

Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 65%

Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 19.5%

Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%

KalshiSports

Top 3 Fantasy D/ST

Will MIN Vikings D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 71.5%

Will PHI Eagles D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 55%

Will BUF Bills D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 54.5%

+29 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 17%

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?Yes 3.9%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 31.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 16.7%

SC-06 House election: John Peterson vote percent

Will John Peterson receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will John Peterson receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 90.5%

Will John Peterson receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 83.5%

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30.5%

Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?

Will Amendment 1 pass?Yes 96.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner

Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%

Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 4.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent

Will Darin LaHood receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 97.5%

Will Darin LaHood receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will Darin LaHood receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 88.5%

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%

Israel Katz departure announced?

Will Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 25.5%

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.4K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%

PM $11.4K · K 31.8K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?

California voter ID referendum passes?

Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

LA-01 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for LA-01?Yes 95%

Will Democratic win the House race for LA-01?Yes 4.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?

Will the Georgia Public Service Commission announce the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 66.5%

1 mktNext deadline Mar 9, 2028 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 40%

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.3K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%

KalshiSports

Missouri St. vs Delaware: Team Total

Missouri St. over 9.5 points scoredYes 94.5%

Delaware over 13.5 points scoredYes 92%

Missouri St. over 13.5 points scoredYes 87%

+18 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%

TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.3K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.4%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%