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Showing 3,841-3,888 of 7,442 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

GA-05 House election: John Salvesen vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.9K contractsWill John Salvesen receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill David Jolly receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 96%
Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Boston vs Detroit: Points
K 3.9K contractsCade Cunningham: 15+ pointsYes 91%
Jalen Duren: 10+ pointsYes 90.5%
Derrick White: 10+ pointsYes 84.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NE-03 House election: Adrian Smith vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Adrian Smith receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Adrian Smith receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 80.5%
Will Adrian Smith receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 62.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois Governor election: JB Pritzker vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill JB Pritzker receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 98%
Will JB Pritzker receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will JB Pritzker receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Hamilton County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Sherrod Brown receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 92%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 82.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-04 House election: Jennifer McClellan vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Jennifer McClellan receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jennifer McClellan receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jennifer McClellan receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes 78.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?Yes 5.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
K 3.9K contractsWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 71.5%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 52.5%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 37%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Roy Cooper receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 96.5%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 87.5%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PM $10.1KWill Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 72%
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 8.5%
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 2.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
K 3.9K contractsWill a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
PM $10.1KWill the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54%
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 46.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52?
K 3.8K contractsWho will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Timothée Chalamet)Yes 62%
Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Pedro Pascal)Yes 44.5%
Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Jenna Ortega)Yes 39%
+45 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
Will Anton Kozlík win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-04 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NJ-04?Yes 97.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-04?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 14%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 62.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $10.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 80000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 62.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PM $10.0KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes 98.6%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?
K 3.8K contractsWill Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment pass?Yes 83%
Will Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment pass?Yes 70%
Will Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment pass?Yes 61.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $10.0KWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Governor margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 94.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 95.5%
Will Miranda Rocca-Circelli win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 1.5%
Will Bob Johnston win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine Governor election: Bobby Charles vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Bobby Charles receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Bobby Charles receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 81.5%
Will Bobby Charles receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 67%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brandon, MB Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes 56.5%
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes 43.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington Senate winner? (2028)
K 3.8K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Washington?Yes 94.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Washington?Yes 5.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
PM $10.0KWill Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35.5%
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 33.5%
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado Governor margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner
PM $9.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes 56%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-08 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NJ-08?Yes 97.9%
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-08?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?
PM $9.9KChuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-07 House election: Scott Collier vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Scott Collier receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 98%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
PM $9.9KWill Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 20.5%
Will Sheldon Clare win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 17.2%
Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Angie Nixon receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 83.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Florida Senate margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
PM $9.8KWill Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Yes 69%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC