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Showing 3,889-3,936 of 8,007 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 9.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PM $12.2KWill Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes 67%
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-37 House election: Greg Casar vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Greg Casar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 92%
Will Greg Casar receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 87%
Will Greg Casar receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PM $12.2KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Copper Mountain open before Nov 8, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner
PM $12.2KWill the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 61%
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 38%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 42 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 126000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 145000?Yes 96.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $12.2KWill CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 0.6%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Dane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill David Crowley receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 96%
Will David Crowley receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 96%
Will David Crowley receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 79%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
PM $12.2KNothing Ever Happens: ObamaView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?Yes 93.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $12.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 20.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-03 House election: Edwin Rivera vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Edwin Rivera receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Edwin Rivera receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Edwin Rivera receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Cambridge, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $12.2KWill Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes 70.5%
Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes 26%
Will Ryan Bolender win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes 3.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-10 House winner?
K 4.8K contractsWill a Democrat win the House race for VA-10?Yes 97.1%
Will a Republican win the House race for VA-10?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?
K 4.8K contractsWill the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 4.8K contractsWill House Majority PAC report more than $95M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 81.5%
Will House Majority PAC report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will House Majority PAC report more than $110M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $12.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 6th District margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 92%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner
PM $12.1KWill Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes 32%
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes 31.5%
Will Wayne Johnston win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes 2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Simi Valley mayoral election winner?
K 4.7K contractsWho will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Mike Judge)Yes 50%
Who will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Kareem Jubran)Yes 50%
Who will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Dee Dee Cavanaugh)Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout
PM $12.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 20.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes 20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 20%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.7K contractsWill Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next US Senate Minority Leader?
PM $12.1KWill John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 45.5%
Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 32%
Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026?
K 4.7K contractsRain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 54%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 7.5%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
PM $12.1KWill the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?Yes 84%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
K 4.7K contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 13%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 10%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $12.1KWill Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
Will Kelechi Anosike win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.7%
Will Ceekay Igara win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
K 4.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
PM $12.1KWill Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Yes 91%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Yes 88.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

TX-34 House winner?
PM $12.0K · K 82.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-34?
Related contracts
PM Yes 83%Rules differK Yes 83.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-34?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Spotify premium subscribers in Q3
K 4.7K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 300 million premium subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 302 million premium subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 304 million premium subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 69.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Darren Bailey receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 65%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Tommy Tuberville receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?
PM $12.0KZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?Yes 31.5%
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?Yes 13%
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Diana Harshbarger receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $12.0KWill Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 82%
Will Kefas Ropshik win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 14.5%
Will John Sunday Sura win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 2.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (October 2026)
K 4.7K contractsWill Ariana Grande have above 14.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Ariana Grande have above 19.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 29%
Will Ariana Grande have above 15.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 29%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?
PM $12.0KWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?Yes 29%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.7K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 75000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 72%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Alan Bradstock receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 95%
Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 90%
Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 92.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 84.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Keelung Mayor Election Winner
PM $11.9KWill Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes 73.5%
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC