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Showing 3,937-3,984 of 8,674 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiWorld

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent
K 6.3K contractsWill Katie Hobbs receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?Yes 82.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Jacksonville: Team Specials
K 6.2K contractsTrevor Lawrence scores 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game?Yes 50.5%
Travis Hunter records 75+ receiving yards and 1+ interception in a single game?Yes 50.5%
The Jacksonville Pro Football Team records 8+ sacks in a single game?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials

McDonald's Credit Card Spend in October
K 6.2K contractsWill McDonald's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 84 ?Yes 96.5%
Will McDonald's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 89 ?Yes 81.5%
Will McDonald's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 91 ?Yes 44.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 65%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 31.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026
K 6.2K contractsWill Air Canada report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Air Canada report Above 83% passenger load factor in 2026?Yes 96%
Will Air Canada report Above 84% passenger load factor in 2026?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 79%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 7.5%
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 2.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Mississauga mayoral election winner?
K 6.2K contractsWill Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 37.5%
Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 17.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 92.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $10.2KWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 34%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?
K 6.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes 78.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31?Yes 5.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 17th District margin of victory
K 6.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 34.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 23%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 11.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-08 House election: Jamie Raskin vote percent
K 6.2K contractsWill Jamie Raskin receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 93%
Will Jamie Raskin receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 88%
Will Jamie Raskin receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 33.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 850,000 and 900,000?Yes 11.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
K 6.2K contractsWill any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PM $10.1KWill Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 72%
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 7.5%
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 2.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 6.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Governor General Election be above 3300000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Governor General Election be above 3500000?Yes 92%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Governor General Election be above 3700000?Yes 86%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round)
K 6.2K contractsWill Troy Carter receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Yes 85%
Will Troy Carter receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Yes 75%
Will Troy Carter receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $10.1KWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 66%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 35.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
K 6.2K contractsWill any federal court rule issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $10.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percent
K 6.2K contractsWill Max Ganorkar receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?Yes 96%
Will Max Ganorkar receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Max Ganorkar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
PM $10.1KWill the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54%
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 46.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent
K 6.2K contractsWill Ted Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 61.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 20.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?
K 6.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for SNS-led list in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be at least 3%?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for SNS-led list in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be at least 5%?Yes 50.5%
Will the margin of victory for SNS-led list in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be at least 10%?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 81%
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
Will Anton Kozlík win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 6.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027
K 6.1K contractsWill Charles Schwab report Above 40.7 million active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027?Yes 94%
Will Charles Schwab report Above 40.9 million active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027?Yes 91%
Will Charles Schwab report Above 41.1 million active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PM $10.0KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes 98.6%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NM-01 House winner?
K 6.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NM-01?Yes 96.6%
Will Republican win the House race for NM-01?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 95%
Will Miranda Rocca-Circelli win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 1.5%
Will Bob Johnston win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent
K 6.1K contractsWill Jena Nelson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Jena Nelson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 88%
Will Jena Nelson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brandon, MB Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes 55.5%
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?
K 6.1K contractsWill the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 56%
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 42%
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner
PM $9.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes 56%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes 44%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida State House winner?
K 6.1K contractsWho will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Republican party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Democratic party)Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent
K 6.1K contractsWill Moshe Landman receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 75.5%
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 36.5%
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 18%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
PM $9.9KWill Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 24%
Will Sheldon Clare win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 19.6%
Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 15%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percent
K 6.1K contractsWill Fredrick Love receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?
PM $9.9KChuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 89.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC