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Showing 4,081-4,128 of 8,371 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Alaska State House winner?
K 4.7K contractsWho will win the Alaska State House? (Republican party)Yes 70.5%
Who will win the Alaska State House? (Democratic party)Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.2%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?
K 4.7K contractsWill Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 19.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 3% and 6%?Yes 24.5%
Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 6% and 9%?Yes 22.5%
Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Ostrava
PM $10.6KWill Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 95%
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 3.4%
Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 1.1%
+6 more
KalshiWorld
When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
K 4.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 49.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PM $10.6KAnthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 93%
Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 71.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 28%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 11.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 36%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 24%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 11.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.5KWill Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 55%
Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 20.5%
Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?Yes 32.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 20.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 12%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $10.5KWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 53%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 37.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 93.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.5KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 68%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football Teams to Qualify for a Bowl Game
K 4.6K contractsTexas selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 90%
Georgia selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 88%
Notre Dame selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 85%
+117 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbian presidential election called by...?
PM $10.5KWill Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?Yes 53.9%
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?
K 4.6K contractsWill Abdul El-Sayed outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?Yes 45%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.5KWill Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 62.5%
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 36%
Will Selva Rasaiah win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 0.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?
K 4.6K contractsWill the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 12%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Missouri?
K 4.6K contractsWill Amendment 8 pass?Yes 71.5%
Will Amendment 6 pass?Yes 54.5%
Will Amendment 7 pass?Yes 24.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.4KWill Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 85.5%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will James Talarico outperform the polls?
K 4.6K contractsWill James Talarico outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Who will be the controlling owner of the Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise?
K 4.6K contractsLas Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise controlling owner (Nancy Walton Laurie and/or Bill Laurie)Yes 47%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise controlling owner (Bill Foley and/or Jerry Colangelo)Yes 46%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise controlling owner (Steve Apostolopoulos and/or Marc Lasry)Yes 28.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?Yes 28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Yes 22%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.6K contractsWill Ronald Russell receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ronald Russell receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ronald Russell receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 85.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 5th District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3
K 4.6K contractsWill Shopify Inc. report Above $110 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 96%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $113 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 80%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $116 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 75%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 7th District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $10.3KWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 83%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 42%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 31%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 84.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2031
K 4.6K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.00%?Yes 87.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.25%?Yes 82.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.00%?Yes 77%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2032 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 31%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 24.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 65%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 28%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-06 House election: Ben Cline vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Ben Cline receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ben Cline receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Ben Cline receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 63%Rules differK Yes 72.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Chad Humphrey vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Chad Humphrey receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 65%
Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 19.5%
Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC