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Showing 385-432 of 1,236 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Oscar nominees: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
K 33.8K contracts2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations? (Werwulf)Yes 88%
2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 79%
2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations? (Digger)Yes 75%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026
PM $23.9KWill Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 85%
Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 33.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 47%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.7%Yes 45.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 35.6%Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $23.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.7%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
K 33.5K contractsWill Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?Yes 7.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?
PM $22.9KWill OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.4K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $22.5KWill MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $22.3KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.4%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in October
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $22.3KWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.2%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.9%
Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes <0.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in November
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in November 2026?Yes 99%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in November 2026?Yes 96%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in November 2026?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?
PM $22.2KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20.4%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What countries will Trump say in October?
K 32.9K contractsWill Trump say "United Kingdom / British" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Argentina / Argentinian" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $22.2KWill Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
K 32.7K contractsWill Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.4 million?Yes 97.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.6 million?Yes 74%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.8 million?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
PM $22.1KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 77%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 33.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 32.2K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 83.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $21.9KWill the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes 79%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Yes 76%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 60%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
K 32.2K contractsWill a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly?Yes 50.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 17.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 14%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 31.6K contractsWhat will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)Yes 93.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Newark)Yes 85.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil)Yes 82%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
PM $21.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.9%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?
K 31.6K contractsWill James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 84.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 9%
Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 2%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PM $21.1KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Yes 49.9%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Yes 26.5%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Yes 20%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will AOC endorse?
K 31.4K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Rashida Tlaib in MI-12 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 72%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Brad Lander in NY-10 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Donavan McKinney in MI-13 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
PM $20.6KWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Yes 3.4%
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027
K 31.3K contractsWill NVIDIA Corporation report above 46000 total employees in 2027?Yes 96%
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 48000 total employees in 2027?Yes 82%
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 50000 total employees in 2027?Yes 80.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $20.4KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.8%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 28%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
World's best restaurant in 2026?
K 31.1K contractsWorld's best restaurant: Trèsind StudioYes 44.5%
World's best restaurant: SühringYes 44.5%
World's best restaurant: RealeYes 44.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Critical Discord Incident by...?
PM $20.2KCritical Discord Incident by November 30?Yes 35.5%
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
K 30.2K contractsWill Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok 5 released by...?
PM $19.8KWill Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 39%
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?
K 29.9K contractsWhere will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Los Angeles Galaxy)Yes 22.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Sporting CP)Yes 14.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Wydad Casablanca)Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $19.7KWill Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 27%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?
K 29.9K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 96.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Hottest)Yes 93%
+31 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 42.9%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.3%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting
K 29.8K contracts2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 84%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 80%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 78.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 29.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in February 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in February 2027?Yes 68%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in February 2027?Yes 58.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.1KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30%
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
K 29.5K contractsWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Same Store Sales)Yes 94.5%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Distribution Center)Yes 91%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Brazil)Yes 90.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PM $18.6KAnthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 33.5%
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.8%
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC