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Showing 4,609-4,656 of 7,028 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 11.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 5.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 3.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PM $301.25Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?Yes 87%
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?Yes 79%
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?Yes 74.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-12 House election: Craig Goldman vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Craig Goldman receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-12 House election?Yes 92%
Will Craig Goldman receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-12 House election?Yes 82%
Will Craig Goldman receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-12 House election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?
PM $293.81Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Senate General Election be above 560000?Yes 84%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Senate General Election be above 590000?Yes 76.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Senate General Election be above 620000?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $289Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump’s name return to the Kennedy Center facade?
K 2.2K contractsWill Trump's name on the Kennedy Center facade be confirmed before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will Trump's name on the Kennedy Center facade be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?
PM $281.11Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 9th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $280Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election?Yes 44.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 43.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 30% or more?Yes 42.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Harris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Harris County, Texas?Yes 96.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Harris County, Texas?Yes 93%
Will James Talarico receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Harris County, Texas?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $274.34Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 25% or more?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Sarah McBride receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 DE-AL House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sarah McBride receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 DE-AL House election?Yes 93%
Will Sarah McBride receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 DE-AL House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $271Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Governor margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 59%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?
PM $256.55Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor election: Ryan Fazio vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Ryan Fazio receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ryan Fazio receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ryan Fazio receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $251.72Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?
K 2.2K contractsWill the US agree to or announce recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PM $237.96NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?
PM $234.2First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?Yes 97.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?
K 2.2K contractsWill the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $219.31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 0%-10%?Yes 38%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
K 2.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Balkan Bonanza: Serbia and Bulgaria Elections Combo
PM $215.09Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes 50%
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes 34.5%
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?Yes 29.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
K 2.2K contractsEU long-term budget deal before September 2027?Yes 75.5%
EU long-term budget deal before July 2027?Yes 56.5%
EU long-term budget deal before April 2027?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $204.1Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?
K 2.2K contractsWill Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 15%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?
PM $201.95Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Christine Drazan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?
PM $200.49First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?Yes 77%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 71.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Palestinian elections delayed again?
PM $198.23Palestinian elections delayed again?Yes 47%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia Senate margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 94.4%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $195.8Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
South Carolina Governor margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $193.86Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 65% or more?Yes 39%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-01 House election: Barb Regnitz vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Barb Regnitz receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 93%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 86%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?
PM $181.06Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 16th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 93.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?
PM $175.56Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
K 2.2K contractsWill the US agree to or announce a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Khamenei # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PM $175.14Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 4.3%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 96%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 89%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?
PM $172.3Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $171.51Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 5% or more?Yes 38.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC