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Showing 4,657-4,704 of 7,014 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
K 2.2K contractsWill the US agree to or announce a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: California or New York?
PM $163Closer Governor Race: California or New York?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 96%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 90%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $161Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
PM $156.78Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?Yes 48.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana Senate election: Jamie Davis vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Jamie Davis receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jamie Davis receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 94.5%
Will Jamie Davis receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $141.09Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election?Yes 38.6%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill Number Ones be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49.5%
Will Visitor be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49.5%
Will Last Laugh [archive tape] be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?
PM $130Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 34th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 52%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?
PM $125.3Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 6900000?Yes 87%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7300000?Yes 76%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7700000?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
PM $122.2Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2100000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2300000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2500000?Yes 76%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
PM $108.68Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
PM $108.51Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?Yes 15.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?Yes 96%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?
PM $107.74Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Alan Wilson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN denied entry from White House again by...?
PM $104.37CNN barred from White House again by October 31?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
K 2.1K contractsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034?Yes 30%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?Yes 20%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?Yes 8.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition
PM $98California Retroactive Tax Prohibition PropositionYes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 3800000?Yes 93%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4000000?Yes 88%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4200000?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $97.8Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 25% or more?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Bill Keating receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 98%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?
PM $95Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-06 House election: Johnny Garrett vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Johnny Garrett receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 74.5%
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-44 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $91.88Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election by 15%-25%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 28th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $79.42Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 49.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 35.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $76.82Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 82%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-38 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $76Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-38 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-38 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-38 House election by 30% or more?Yes 37%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Jim Baird receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jim Baird receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jim Baird receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $74.58Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-05 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-05?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-05?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $74.38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brendan Carr departure announced?
K 2.1K contractsWill Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $65.26Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.1K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in New York?Yes 95%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in New York?Yes 6.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Josh Turek runs behind Rob Sand by...?
PM $64.65Will Josh Turek run 3 to 6 points behind Rob Sand?Yes 42.5%
Will Josh Turek run 6 to 9 points behind Rob Sand?Yes 40.5%
Will Josh Turek run ahead of Rob Sand?Yes 38.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-04 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OR-04?Yes 95%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-04?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $64Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 15% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 37%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 37%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-43 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-43?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-43?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-50 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $62Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 0%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC