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Showing 5,185-5,232 of 7,492 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
TX-24 House election: Beth Van Duyne vote percent
K 1.7K contractsWill Beth Van Duyne receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-24 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Beth Van Duyne receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-24 House election?Yes 80%
Will Beth Van Duyne receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-24 House election?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?
PM $172.3Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
K 1.7K contractsWill KaiCenat become a billionaire before 2030?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $171.51Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 5% or more?Yes 38.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
RI-01 House winner?
K 1.7K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for RI-01?Yes 98.3%
Will Republican win the House race for RI-01?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $165.74Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 39%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-02 House election: David Taylor vote percent
K 1.7K contractsWill David Taylor receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-02 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will David Taylor receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-02 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will David Taylor receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-02 House election?Yes 78.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $165.6Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Indiana's 4th District margin of victory
K 1.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?
PM $165.56Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
K 1.7K contractsWill a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?
PM $163.99Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C on October 19?Yes 55.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 5°C or below on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on October 19?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Will Newsom call a California special session?
K 1.7K contractsWill Newsom call a California special session before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: California or New York?
PM $163Closer Governor Race: California or New York?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming margin of victory
K 1.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wyoming House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wyoming House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wyoming House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 59%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $161Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 11th District margin of victory
K 1.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 94.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Busan on October 21?
PM $160.61Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 6°C or below on October 21?Yes 45.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 16°C or higher on October 21?Yes 41.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 21?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 10th District margin of victory
K 1.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 10th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 10th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?Yes 92.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 10th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 20?
PM $145.06Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 20?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20?Yes 32.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?Yes 26%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 12th District margin of victory
K 1.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 86.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $141.09Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
PM $139.09Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 20?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-08 House election: Melissa Bean vote percent
K 1.7K contractsWill Melissa Bean receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-08 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Melissa Bean receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-08 House election?Yes 97%
Will Melissa Bean receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-08 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 21?
PM $134.48Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 21?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 21?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-08 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-08?Yes 92.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-08?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?
PM $130Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
K 1.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 33%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 25%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 13%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on October 19?
PM $130Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 9th District margin of victory
K 1.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 19?
PM $129.26Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on October 19?Yes 62%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 10°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
+8 more
KalshiElections
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
K 1.6K contractsWill the number of parties that control both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate during February 1, 2027 be above 0?Yes 77.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?
PM $125.3Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.6K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the minimum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 19?
PM $123.46Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts Governor election: Maura Healey vote percent
K 1.6K contractsWill Maura Healey receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Maura Healey receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?Yes 79.5%
Will Maura Healey receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?Yes 61.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
PM $122.2Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory
K 1.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 62.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 47%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
PM $121.78Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?Yes 48%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WI-02 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for WI-02?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for WI-02?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Munich on October 20?
PM $120.3Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 0°C or below on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.6K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 71%
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 19.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 21?
PM $117.7Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 21?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on October 21?Yes 30%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Oct 2026 temperature increase?
K 1.6K contractsOct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)Yes 93.5%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)Yes 4.5%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
PM $108.68Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?Yes 45%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-06 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for WA-06?Yes 97.7%
Will Republican win the House race for WA-06?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
PM $108.51Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?Yes 15.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC