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Showing 481-528 of 1,236 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models
K 24.6K contractsWill Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 42.5%
Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 30%
Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 22.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
PM $13.2KSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 24.2K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (SZA)Yes 6%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Tyla)Yes 4.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 4%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $13.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 15%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in December
K 24.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in December 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in December 2026?Yes 89%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PM $13.2KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 20.2%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
PM $13.2KWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 24.0K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.8KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 39.6%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in November
K 23.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?Yes 90%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in November 2026?Yes 90%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in November 2026?Yes 88.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Elon Bull Run Combo
PM $12.6KElon Bull Run ComboYes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Visual Effects
K 23.6K contracts2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations? (Dune: Part Three)Yes 92%
2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 88%
2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 86.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
PM $12.6KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 23.6K contractsWill Fuerza Regida have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Fuerza Regida have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Fuerza Regida have above 14M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PM $12.4KRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Savannah container volume in 2026
K 23.5K contractsWill the Port of Savannah’s total container volume for 2026 be above 5.4 million TEUs?Yes 94.5%
Will the Port of Savannah’s total container volume for 2026 be above 5.6 million TEUs?Yes 79.5%
Will the Port of Savannah’s total container volume for 2026 be above 5.8 million TEUs?Yes 39.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
PM $12.2KNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 84.5%
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.5K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 86.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 83%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.2KWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue 2027: Cover model
K 23.4K contractsWill Ella Halikas be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?Yes 18.5%
Will Haley Kalil be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?Yes 15%
Will Camille Kostek be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?Yes 13%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?
PM $12.0KWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21.3%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
South Africa retail sales in August
K 23.4K contractsWill South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?Yes 72%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?Yes 51%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?Yes 25.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $11.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 27%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 21.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 22.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in January 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in January 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in January 2027?Yes 87.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
PM $11.4KNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 67.5%
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Footwear Retail Ad Spend in October
K 22.8K contractsWill Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 65?Yes 98.5%
Will Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 80?Yes 83.5%
Will Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 100?Yes 41.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.2KWill Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 22%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 2026)
K 22.8K contractsWill Tate McRae have above 2.7M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 98%
Will Tate McRae have above 4.1M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 94%
Will Tate McRae have above 3M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 93.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What will Trump say in October?
PM $11.1KWill Trump say "Weave" in October?Yes 60%
Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?Yes 56.5%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Stolen Bases
K 22.6K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 22.5%
José Ramírez: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 22%
Taylor Walls: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 13.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 14%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 22.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in February 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in February 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in February 2027?Yes 50.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 58%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 35.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his announcement?
K 22.2K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Iran / Iranian)Yes 62%
What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Invest / Invested / Investment)Yes 56.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Billion / Trillion)Yes 54.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
PM $11.1KWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Cinematography
K 21.8K contracts2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 91.5%
2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations? (Dune: Part Three)Yes 88%
2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 62%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?
PM $11.0KNext Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 22.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.8K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 88%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 79%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 62.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $11.0KWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027
K 21.8K contractsWill Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?Yes 97%
Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?Yes 97%
+12 moreNext deadline Jul 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PM $11.0KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 6.8%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PM $11.0KWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes 9.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in April 2027
K 21.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.75 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in April 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in April 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?
PM $10.8KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 17.3%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What companies will Trump mention in October?
PM $10.8KWill Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?Yes 52%
Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in October?Yes 52%
Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC