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Showing 529-576 of 2,076 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

The Game Awards: Best Narrative
PM $33.5KWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 50.5%
Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 14%
Will Silent Hill: Townfall win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 12.3%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?
K 42.3K contractsRobert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man by 2027?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

#2 Spotify Artist in October?
PM $32.5KWill Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 68%
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 30.5%
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes <0.1%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
PM $32.5KWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
K 42.1K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 21%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 18.5%
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 9.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2033 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PM $32.1KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contractsWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Oscar Winner: Best Animated Feature Film
K 42.0K contractsWill Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?Yes 75.5%
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?Yes 8.5%
Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
K 42.0K contractsWill Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?Yes 7.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner
PM $32.0KWill The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 58.5%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 18%
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 7.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
PM $31.8KWill "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Yes >99.9%
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Yes 0.1%
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes <0.1%
+3 more
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 41.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in March 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in March 2027?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
PM $31.4KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 57.7%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor
K 41.7K contractsWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 42.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
PM $31.3KCarles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Yes 89.5%
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Yes 11.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 41.5K contractsWill David Harbour win Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 57.5%
Will Hoon Lee win Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 16.5%
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 7.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $30.9KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 58%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 21%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 41.4K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Kimi K4 released by…?
PM $30.6KKimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 26.1%
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Grammy Winner: Best R&B Solo Performance
K 41.0K contractsWill What You Need win Best R&B Solo Performance at the Grammys?Yes 44.5%
Will The Feeling win Best R&B Solo Performance at the Grammys?Yes 17.5%
Will Out The Window win Best R&B Solo Performance at the Grammys?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Anthropic acquired before 2027?
PM $30.6KAnthropic acquired before 2027?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

The Bachelorette S22: Will ABC air an episode in 2026?
K 40.3K contractsWill ABC Television Network air an episode of The Bachelorette Season 22 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
PM $30.5KDoes a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes 6.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Tyler, The Creator Streams in 2026
K 40.3K contractsWill Tyler, The Creator have 4100000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Tyler, The Creator have 3800000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will Tyler, The Creator have 3700000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner
PM $30.5KWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 60.5%
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 27%
Will Geese win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 4%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

When will Elder Scrolls VI be released?
K 40.2K contractsWill Elder Scrolls VI be released before 2028?Yes 12.5%
Will Elder Scrolls VI be released before 2027?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner
PM $30.1KWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 58.5%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 23%
Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 12.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.8K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
PM $30.0KWill OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.9%
Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.2%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
K 39.7K contractsWho will perform the next James Bond Song? (Olivia Dean)Yes 35%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Raye)Yes 26.5%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Dua Lipa)Yes 19%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketCulture

"Sense and Sensibility" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
PM $29.3KWill "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.8%
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.7%
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film
K 39.7K contracts2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (NAZA)Yes 84%
2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (You Can See Everything)Yes 77.5%
2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Once Upon a Time in Harlem)Yes 75.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
PM $29.2KOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes 83.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 39.7K contractsWill Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 be above 24,431 employees?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
PM $29.1KWill Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 26.5%
Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 19.5%
Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 9.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

TV shows cancelled this year
K 39.3K contractsWhich shows will be cancelled this year? (Late Night With Seth Meyers)Yes 14%
Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon)Yes 8%
Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Daily Show)Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI resumes training by...?
PM $28.9KOpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
PM $28.8KGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

"Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office
PM $28.8KWill "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Yes 95.5%
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Yes 3.8%
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?Yes 0.3%
+3 more
KalshiSports

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 38.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 56.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PM $28.8KUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup
K 38.3K contractsWill Werwulf win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 34.5%
Will The Odyssey win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 16%
Will Digger win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 9.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PM $28.6KWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC