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Showing 5,857-5,904 of 7,517 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

NC-11 House election: Jamie Ager vote percent
K 707.68 contractsWill Jamie Ager receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-11 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jamie Ager receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-11 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jamie Ager receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-11 House election?Yes 89.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delaware Senate election: Chris Coons vote percent
K 706.18 contractsWill Chris Coons receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Chris Coons receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Chris Coons receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Yes 91.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 706 contractsWhat will Elon Musk say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Grok)Yes 75.5%
What will Elon Musk say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 75.5%
What will Elon Musk say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Tesla)Yes 70.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-15 House election: Don Leonard vote percent
K 705.88 contractsWill Don Leonard receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Don Leonard receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-15 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Don Leonard receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-15 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Dakota margin of victory
K 703.8 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Dakota House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Dakota House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 71%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Dakota House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 26 House General Election: voter turnout
K 700 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 71.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 50 House General Election: voter turnout
K 700 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 50 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 50 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 82.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 50 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 5th District margin of victory
K 699 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor
K 698.88 contractsWill Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 76.5%
Will Andrew Garfield be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 72.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in North Carolina?
K 697.95 contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 83.5%
Will Amendment 3 pass?Yes 81.5%
Will Amendment 2 pass?Yes 80.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-14 House election: Clay Fuller vote percent (1st Round)
K 697.14 contractsWill Clay Fuller receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-14 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Clay Fuller receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-14 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Clay Fuller receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-14 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-01 House election: Jake Johnson vote percent
K 695.42 contractsWill Jake Johnson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jake Johnson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jake Johnson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-01 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?
K 694.56 contractsAbove 8.1%Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 19, 2026?
K 694.12 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43%
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
K 693.53 contractsWill above 30% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 89.5%
Will above 32% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 82%
Will above 34% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
K 693.52 contractsWill Jared Polis be out as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Texas's 32nd District margin of victory
K 690.06 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 17th District margin of victory
K 688.93 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 17th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 93.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 17th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 17th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 75%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 685.62 contractsWill the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-04 House winner?
K 685.34 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NC-04?Yes 97.5%
Will Republican win the House race for NC-04?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump visit Trump National Doral again in 2026?
K 683.5 contractsWill Donald Trump visit Trump National Doral before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 97%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-16 House winner?
K 683.09 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-16?Yes 97.3%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-16?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the Kennedy Center Board vote to demolish the Kennedy Center in 2026?
K 680.96 contractsWill a vote in 2026 by the Kennedy Center Board of Trustees approving demolition of the Kennedy Center's main building be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 19th District margin of victory
K 677.6 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 60%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 14th District margin of victory
K 675.53 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 14th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 14th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 14th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?
K 674.79 contractsWill the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announce its revocation of, or an amendment to, Russia-related General License 135 so that the license no longer authorizes the importation into the United States of diesel fuel of Russian Federation origin before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?
K 672.87 contractsWill the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 60%
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 17%
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 672.5 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 01 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 01 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 01 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
K 672 contractsWill final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms receive above 56 Yea votes in the Senate?Yes 75.5%
Will final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms receive above 60 Yea votes in the Senate?Yes 69%
Will final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms receive above 64 Yea votes in the Senate?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-09 House election: Rachel Wallace vote percent
K 670 contractsWill Rachel Wallace receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-09 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rachel Wallace receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-09 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rachel Wallace receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-09 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-06 House election: Jim Clyburn vote percent
K 670 contractsWill Jim Clyburn receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Jim Clyburn receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Jim Clyburn receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-19 House election: Tom Sell vote percent
K 670 contractsWill Tom Sell receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Tom Sell receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?Yes 80.5%
Will Tom Sell receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?Yes 66.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
K 668.72 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 31%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 16th District margin of victory
K 668 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina's 4th District margin of victory
K 667.74 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
K 665.05 contractsWill Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 40.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

California's 37th District margin of victory
K 664 contractsWill the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 94.2%
Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory
K 664 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 9th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 9th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 9th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Dakota Senate election: Brian Bengs vote percent
K 662.6 contractsWill Brian Bengs receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Brian Bengs receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brian Bengs receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Yes 92.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-05 House election: Tom Perriello vote percent
K 662 contractsWill Tom Perriello receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 85.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OR-01 House winner?
K 658.81 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OR-01?Yes 98%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-01?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-16 House winner?
K 657.2 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-16?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-16?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 655.91 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky Senate General Election be above 1270000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky Senate General Election be above 1340000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky Senate General Election be above 1410000?Yes 80.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 19, 2026?
K 655 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
K 653.94 contractsWill the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028?Yes 37%
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 11th District margin of victory
K 652.34 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 89%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio 07 House General Election: voter turnout
K 651.52 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 07 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 07 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory
K 650 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 63%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC