Tech prediction markets
1,156 tech market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 577-624 of 1,156 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
K 15.9K contractsWill Erling Haaland be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 48%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 8%
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $6.2KWill Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes 19%
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Yes 9%
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?Yes 3.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Stolen Bases
K 15.9K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 22.5%
José Ramírez: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 20.5%
Taylor Walls: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 14.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $6.2KWill GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes 23%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
PM $5.9KSSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $5.9KWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 39%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 11%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 54.5%
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3
K 15.5K contractsWill Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 51%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Post Malone: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 15.4K contractsWill Post Malone have above 5.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Post Malone have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Post Malone have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 75%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PM $5.7KOpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 8.1%
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 6%
Google announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
K 15.4K contractsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before 2028)Yes 95%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before July 2027)Yes 91%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before April 2027)Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PM $5.4KUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
K 15.3K contractsWill Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 58.5%
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
America.gov removed by October 31?
PM $5.4KAmerica.gov removed by October 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 15.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in May 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in May 2027?Yes 66.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Muse on Meta glasses by...?
PM $5.2KWill Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?Yes 46%
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Atlanta: Team Specials
K 15.1K contractsKyle Pitts Sr. records 150+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 50.5%
Tua Tagovailoa records 1500+ passing yards?Yes 48%
Zachariah Branch records 80+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many Codex resets week of October 12?
PM $5.1KWill there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 83%
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?
PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contractsOpenAI acquired before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 song on Spotify in 2026?
K 15.0K contractsWill Beauty and a Beat be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 71%
Will Babydoll be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will SWIM be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 6%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
K 14.9K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 780 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 800 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 810 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PM $4.9KFrontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?
PM $4.7K · K 1.5K contractsAnother Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 36.5%
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Dec 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 13.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026
K 14.9K contractsWill Yumi Nu wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
Will Stella Maxwell wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
Will Precious Lee wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Big Ten: Passing Yards Leader
K 14.8K contractsJayden Maiava records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 35.5%
Ryan Browne records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 24%
Dante Moore records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 22%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PM $4.5KDario Amodei arrested by December 31?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
K 14.8K contractsWill NJ TRANSIT's systemwide monthly rail on-time performance, all causes (not the Amtrak-adjusted figure) be above 90 in November 2026?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?
PM $4.5KNext GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Call Her Daddy: Guests this year
K 14.7K contractsWill Jennifer Lopez go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 20%
Will Paige Lorenze go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 20%
Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 19.5%
+38 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PM $4.3KCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 14.7K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 54.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $4.3KWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027?Yes 83%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?Yes 77%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 2.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 60.5%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 16%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Moonshot)Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok (Web) Outage by...?
PM $4.0KGrok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?Yes 37%
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
New Orleans vs New York G: Fantasy Points
K 14.3K contractsJameis Winston: Over 13.5 fantasy pointsYes 59.5%
Isaiah Likely: Over 13.1 fantasy pointsYes 57.5%
Malik Nabers: Over 14 fantasy pointsYes 49%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?
PM $3.7KWill Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $42B?Yes 76%
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?Yes 72.5%
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $46B?Yes 46%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026?
K 14.3K contractsRain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 16.5%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 9%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Meta headcount above __ in Q3?
PM $3.6KWill Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 66000?Yes 91.4%
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?Yes 74.5%
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 70000?Yes 45.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Chicago vs Atlanta: Fantasy Points
K 14.2K contractsColston Loveland: Over 10.1 fantasy pointsYes 99.5%
D'Andre Swift: Over 15.1 fantasy pointsYes 68.5%
Luther Burden III: Over 12.2 fantasy pointsYes 44%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
PM $3.6KWill a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Yes 7.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
K 13.9K contractsRain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 60%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $3.4KWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
K 13.8K contractsWill Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 51.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 44%
Will Bank of Canada cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?
PM $3.4KWill Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 43%
Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC