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Showing 673-720 of 1,132 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics

Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
K 11.3K contractsWill O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
PM $1.6KOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in December
K 11.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in December 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 67%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.75 in December 2026?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)
PM $1.6KWill Elon post "Border" or "Borders" on X this week?Yes 42%
Will Elon post "India" on X this week?Yes 41.5%
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Yes 31.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will Training Season (Live) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will TRALALA rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
PM $1.5KWill SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 85.9%
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026?Yes 19.3%
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 18.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Apple headcount in 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Apple Inc. report above 164000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 92%
Will Apple Inc. report above 166000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 86%
Will Apple Inc. report above 168000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 68%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?
PM $1.5KWill Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?Yes 85.5%
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $17.0B?Yes 73.5%
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $18.0B?Yes 32%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?
PM $1.5KWill ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Spotify premium subscribers in 2026
K 10.7K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 324 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 322 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 308 million premium subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?
PM $1.3KWill Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $33.5B?Yes 90.5%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $35.0B?Yes 77.5%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $38.0B?Yes 31.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.6K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.7%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?
PM $1.3KNext Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 30.5%
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 24%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in October
K 10.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in October 2026?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
PM $1.3KAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 10.6K contractsWill Training Season (Live) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will TRALALA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Shararat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?
PM $1.2KNext Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?
PM $1.2KWill JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will JUUL relaunch Cucumber flavor by 2027?Yes 51%
Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?Yes 44%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

United Airlines passengers in Q3
K 10.4K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.5 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.25 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?
PM $1.2KWill Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $20B?Yes 85%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $21B?Yes 69%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

SoFi members in Q3
K 10.3K contractsWill SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.7 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 86%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.8 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.9 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 55%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?
PM $1.1KNext Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 84%
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in November
K 10.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in November 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.75 in November 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in November 2026?Yes 51.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PM $1.1KWill OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Vince McMahon: Return to WWE in 2026
K 10.1K contractsWill Vince McMahon perform any on-screen character, presenter, creative, hosting, leadership or management role at any World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) event before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

New MAI thinking model released by...?
PM $1.1KWill Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.0K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 54%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Another Elon baby by December 31?
PM $1.1KAnother Elon baby by December 31?Yes 11.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 9.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in June 2027?Yes 96%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in June 2027?Yes 79%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in June 2027?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
PM $1.0KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
K 9.9K contractsWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 47%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above __?
PM $1.0KWill Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?Yes 74.5%
Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.0B?Yes 29.5%
Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.2B?Yes 20%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Meta say during their next earnings call?
PM $995.45Will Meta say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes 92%
Will Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call?Yes 92%
Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call?Yes 89.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21)
PM $957.53Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97.3%
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97.3%
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Player Longest Reception
K 9.6K contractsTy Johnson: longest reception over 10.5 yardsYes 99.5%
Tre Tucker: longest reception over 17.5 yardsYes 99.5%
Dalton Kincaid: longest reception over 19.5 yardsYes 61%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
PM $928.68Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 41%
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 26.9%
Will KICK - Live Streaming be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 11%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?
PM $779.04Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027?Yes 69%
Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 43.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above __?
PM $746.61Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.58B?Yes 55.5%
Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.62B?Yes 54%
Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.66B?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in April 2027
K 9.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in April 2027?Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PM $722.45Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PM $697.36League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC