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Showing 865-912 of 5,266 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
K 9.1K contractsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $20.4KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.8%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 28%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Intel headcount in Q3
K 8.8K contractsWill Intel Corporation report Above 79 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Intel Corporation report Above 79.5 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 83%
Will Intel Corporation report Above 80 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 76%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Critical Discord Incident by...?
PM $20.2KCritical Discord Incident by November 30?Yes 35.5%
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in Q3
K 8.7K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 67 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 92%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 68 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 64%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 71 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Linera listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PM $20.0KLinera listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Yes 17.1%
Linera listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Yes 15%
Linera listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 8.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in July 2027?Yes 95%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.25 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in July 2027?Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Linera FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $20.0KLinera FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 23%
Linera FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 15%
Linera FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 12%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 8.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in July 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.50 in July 2027?Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Flop launch a token by ___?
PM $19.9KWill Flop launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 79%
Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 77%
Will Flop launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 73%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How low will DOGE get in October?
K 8.7K contractsWill DOGE trimmed mean be below $0.07 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 53%
Will DOGE trimmed mean be below $0.06 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Will DOGE trimmed mean be below $0.05 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok 5 released by...?
PM $19.8KWill Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 39%
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Rushing Yards Escalator
K 8.6K contractsKenneth Walker III Rushing Yards EscalatorYes 27.7%
Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards EscalatorYes 12.5%
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards EscalatorYes 1.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Tori Finance FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $19.8KTori FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 36.5%
Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 28.5%
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?
K 8.5K contractsWill “Artificial Intelligence” be the #1 reason for job cuts in Challenger’s October 2026 report?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Saturn launch a token by ___?
PM $19.7KWill Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 85%
Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 84%
Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 74.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.5K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 39.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 16%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $19.7KWill Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 27%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 8.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $4.00 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.75 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 42.9%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.3%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
EPL: Managers out before 2027
K 8.4K contractsWill Michael Carrick cease to be manager of Manchester United before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Álvaro Arbeloa cease to be manager of Fulham before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will Pierre Sage cease to be manager of Crystal Palace before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 31.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
PM $19.3KWill the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?Yes 30.5%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?Yes 16.7%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.4K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 53%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 8.3K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 67.5%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 49%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 48.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by ___?
PM $19.2KWill Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 36.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 5: Oct 20
K 8.3K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 37%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Dmitry AndreikinYes 26.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Vladislav ArtemievYes 25%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
PM $19.1KUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 43%
Will Bad Bunny be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.1KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30%
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?Yes 90.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?Yes 86%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?Yes 74.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $19.1KDecibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 51.2%
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 39%
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 32%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Dopamine Chamber: First Week Streams
K 8.0K contractsWill Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 50000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 1000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 2000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
PM $19.0KWill pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?Yes 76.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?
PM $19.0KWill Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?Yes 44.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 33%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PM $18.6KAnthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 33.5%
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.8%
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 7.9K contractsTravis Kelce Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 16%
Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 15%
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 7.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
K 7.9K contractsWill the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 97%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 96%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by ___?
PM $18.4KNext Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?Yes 39.5%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?Yes 7%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.4KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 49%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
K 7.8K contractsWill Anthropic announce signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT-7 released by...?
PM $18.2KGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 83%
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $18.2KNoble FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 15.5%
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 13.5%
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC