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Showing 1,201-1,248 of 1,996 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?
K 3.4K contractsWill the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on October 19?
PM $1.5KWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 42%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 3.4K contractsWill Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 76%
Will Casa Tupka Anthemo rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above __?
PM $1.5KWill Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $16B?Yes 81%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $17B?Yes 43.5%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $18B?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Argentina inflation rate MoM for October
K 3.4K contractsWill the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 99.5%
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.2%?Yes 96%
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.4%?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.5KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 65%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 63%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 16.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?
K 3.3K contractsWill there be more than 6 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 50%
Will there be more than 7 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.5KWill Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 39%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
WR Fantasy Football Week 6 Top 5?
K 3.3K contractsMalik Nabers: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 80%
Tre Tucker: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 67%
Keon Coleman: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
+55 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 19?
PM $1.5KWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 19?Yes 86.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 17°C on October 19?Yes 38%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 19°C on October 19?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
K 3.3K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 0.0%?Yes 88.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 3.5%?Yes 67.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 2.5%?Yes 51%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2032 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $1.5KSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
K 3.3K contractsWill Fireworks Initiative pass?Yes 54%
Will War Materiel Act amendment pass?Yes 44%
Will AHV VAT financing pass?Yes 21%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.5KWill Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2033
K 3.3K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 56.00%?Yes 96%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 56.50%?Yes 95%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 57.00%?Yes 94%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 13, 2034 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?
PM $1.4KWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $7.6B?Yes 79%
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $8B?Yes 40%
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $8.4B?Yes 21%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
K 3.2K contractsWill Cillian Murphy perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 24.5%
Will Idris Elba perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 19.5%
Will Barry Keoghan perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.4KWill Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next Fed rate cut?
K 3.1K contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028?Yes 88.5%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2028?Yes 68%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027?Yes 47.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 19?
PM $1.4KWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 19?Yes 28%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P 2027 year end price range
K 3.1K contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 12.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8600 and 8799.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 9.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?Yes 6%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.3KWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 88%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 72%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 62%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
K 3.1K contractsWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 91%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures be above __?
PM $1.3KWill Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $35B?Yes 90.5%
Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $30B?Yes 89%
Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?Yes 54%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
K 3.1K contractsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina during the 2026 hurricane season?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.3KWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 89%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 65%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 60%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US student loan debt at end of 2026
K 3.1K contractsWill total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.82T?Yes 96.5%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.84T?Yes 95.5%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.86T?Yes 91.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $1.3KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 20?Yes 43%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 20?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026
K 3.0K contractsWill Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.5 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.6 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.7 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.3KWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 96%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $172 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 72%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October
K 3.0K contractsWill the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 97.5%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.3KWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 97.7%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 79%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkey rate decision in October
K 3.0K contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 74%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 26%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.3KWill IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 84%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
K 3.0K contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.0%?Yes 96%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.5%?Yes 94.5%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.0%?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
PM $1.3KWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 25%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 13.5%
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
K 3.0K contractsCPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.9%)Yes 26%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.8%)Yes 19%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 3.0%)Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.3KWill Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 32.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026?
K 3.0K contractsRain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 80.5%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 31%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.3KWill MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Northstar California Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 2.9K contractsWill Northstar California Resort open before Dec 27, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 96%
Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.3KWill American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 91.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed median dot plot in December 2026
K 2.9K contractsWhat will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)Yes 97.5%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.7%)Yes 97%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.6%)Yes 97%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on October 19?
PM $1.3KWill the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 7°C on October 19?Yes 89%
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 6°C on October 19?Yes 44%
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 5°C or below on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?
PM $1.3KS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026
K 2.9K contractsWill U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 410 million barrels?Yes 73.5%
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 412 million barrels?Yes 68.5%
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 411 million barrels?Yes 66.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $1.3KWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 19?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 19?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC