Politics prediction markets
6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,345-1,392 of 6,940 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026
K 21.5K contractsWill Adriana Lima wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will Doutzen Kroes wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will Yumi Nu wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 3%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PM $53.4KWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes 58.5%
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes 24.5%
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
K 21.5K contractsWill CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 49.5%
Will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 34%
Will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-03 House Election Winner
PM $53.3KWill the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
PM $53.3K · K 2.4K contractsWill Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Kalshi: Will Leo Montañez win the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 45%Rules differK Yes 38.5%
Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Kalshi: Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Will Anayeli Muñoz Moreno win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Kalshi: Will Anayeli Muñoz win the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
K 21.4K contractsWho will win Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election? (Nick Begich III)Yes 84.5%
Who will win Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election? (Bill Hill)Yes 15.5%
Who will win Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election? (Jim McDermott)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-05 House election: Roy Matthewson vote percent
K 21.3K contractsWill Roy Matthewson receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-05 House election?Yes 12.5%
Will Roy Matthewson receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-05 House election?Yes 12.5%
Will Roy Matthewson receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-05 House election?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
HI-01 House Election Winner
PM $53.2KWill the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top 5 Fantasy QB
K 21.3K contractsWill Brock Purdy be a top 5 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 77.5%
Will Josh Allen be a top 5 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 74.5%
Will Matthew Stafford be a top 5 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 56.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-03 House Election Winner
PM $53.1KWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Yes 98.9%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
K 21.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?Yes 71%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?Yes 55.5%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 7%?Yes 31.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-10 House Election Winner
PM $53.0KWill the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes 81%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
K 21.2K contractsWill Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for 2026 be above $21.7531 billion?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-25 House Election Winner
PM $52.9KWill the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ruben Gallego out as Senator?
K 21.2K contractsWill Ruben Gallego be out as Senator before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
PM $52.8KWill Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes 55.5%
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-07 House winner?
K 21.2K contractsWill Democrats win the House race for IN-07?Yes 97.2%
Will Republicans win the House race for IN-07?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Prague
PM $52.8KWill Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes 94.5%
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes 3%
Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes 1.6%
+7 more
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $52.8K · K 8.5K contractsWill the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Idaho
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.7%Rules differK Yes 97.8%
Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Idaho
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.8%Rules differK Yes 1.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Idaho
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 1.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many weeks will Dandelion by Ella Langley spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
K 21.2K contractsWill Dandelion by Ella Langley spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? Yes 13%
Will Dandelion by Ella Langley spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? Yes 6.5%
Will Dandelion by Ella Langley spend 6 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 23rd District margin of victory
K 21.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 47.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $52.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 24%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
K 21.0K contractsWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 10.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-01 House Election Winner
PM $52.7KWill the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
College GameDay Week 8 Location
K 20.9K contractsWill the College GameDay Week 8 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Auburn, Alabama?Yes 12.5%
Will the College GameDay Week 8 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Tuscaloosa, Alabama?Yes 4.5%
Will the College GameDay Week 8 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Austin, Texas?Yes 4.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-17 House Election Winner
PM $52.7KWill the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Cory Mills leave the House?
K 20.9K contractsWill Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms?Yes 26.2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-01 House Election Winner
PM $52.6KWill the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $52.6K · K 15.1K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-22?
Related contracts
PM Yes 94.5%Rules differK Yes 94.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-22?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 4.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-22?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 4.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How low will gas prices in New York get this year?
K 20.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $2.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.90 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 4%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.70 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NH-01 House winner?
PM $52.4K · K 19.3K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NH-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NH-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 3.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
K 20.9K contractsWill the Democratic party hold more than 211 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 97.5%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 214 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 217 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 90.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico Attorney General winner?
K 20.8K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?Yes 95.2%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-24 House Election Winner
PM $52.3KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat?Yes 97.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?
K 20.8K contractsWill Steve Hilton win Fresno County?Yes 68%
Will Steve Hilton win Riverside County?Yes 41.5%
Will Steve Hilton win Orange County?Yes 36%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
PM $52.0KViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
K 20.8K contractsWill legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot impersonating certain licensed professionals become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WY-AL House Election Winner
PM $51.9KWill the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?Yes 94.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?Yes 5.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nevada State Senate winner?
K 20.8K contractsWho will win the Nevada Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 94.5%
Who will win the Nevada Senate? (Republican party)Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-03 House Election Winner
PM $51.8KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 8+ Rushing Touchdowns Season
K 20.8K contractsWill Jahmyr Gibbs record 8+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 96.5%
Will Jonathan Taylor record 8+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 85%
Will Bijan Robinson record 8+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 61%
+48 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-02 House Election Winner
PM $51.7KWill the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?Yes 97.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?
K 20.7K contractsWill North Carolina Senate have the largest margin of victory in the Georgia and North Carolina Senate elections?Yes 52%
Will Georgia Senate have the largest margin of victory in the Georgia and North Carolina Senate elections?Yes 46%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
PM $51.6K Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
K 20.7K contractsWhich city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)Yes 37.5%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)Yes 32.5%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)Yes 24.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Aug 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado Senate Election Winner
PM $51.5KWill the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes 98.8%
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-23 House winner?
K 20.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NY-23?Yes 95.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-23?Yes 2.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VT-AL House Election Winner
PM $51.4KWill the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?Yes 98.3%
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC