Science prediction markets
231 science market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 97-144 of 231 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.1K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
K 25.2K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (ChatGPT)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (Claude)Yes 41%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (DeepSeek)Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 24.8K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.7%Yes 43%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.8%Yes 41.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 33.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 23.9K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 23.7K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Olivia Dean)Yes 3.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Charli xcx)Yes 3%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 3%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.4K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 87%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 82.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.5K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Yards
K 17.3K contractsMarShawn Lloyd: 20+ rushing yardsYes 81.5%
Javonte Williams: 40+ rushing yardsYes 81.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 25+ rushing yardsYes 74.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 74%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
K 15.4K contractsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before 2028)Yes 95%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before July 2027)Yes 91%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before April 2027)Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 15.2K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 89%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 74.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 56%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Z.ai)Yes 16.5%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.4K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 50.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.2K contractsWill the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.68 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.38 by Dec 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.23 by Dec 31?Yes 45%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Big Ten: Rushing Yards Leader
K 9.1K contractsCam Edwards records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 48.5%
Wayne Knight records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 34%
Jordan Marshall records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 32%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
K 9.1K contractsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 82.5%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 80%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 57%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
K 9.1K contractsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 9.0K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 98.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.8%Yes 81.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 57.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.3K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 53.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 8.2K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 89.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.7%Yes 89%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 10.9%Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC