Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 93%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-7?

Related contracts

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NJ-7?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7%Rules differK Yes 6.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 29%

Michigan's 10th District margin of victory

K 20.0K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 17%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 8%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

Major volcano eruption in 2026?

K 20.0K contracts

Will there be at least 1 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 34%

Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 16%

Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 3%

3 mktsNext deadline Jun 29, 2027 UTC

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 11, 2026?Yes 94.4%

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

PM $49.4K

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026?Yes 76.4%

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?Yes 74.6%

+17 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Who will win the next Spanish general election? (People's Party)Yes 84%

Spanish general election winner?

K 20.0K contracts

Who will win the next Spanish general election? (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party)Yes 15%

Who will win the next Spanish general election? (Vox)Yes 4.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Aug 21, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Yes 95.5%

NJ-08 House Election Winner

PM $49.3K

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Yes 1.5%

Will Donald Trump issue a statement about explicitly calling for John Thune to resign, step down, be replaced, or be removed from his position as Senate Majority Leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?

K 19.8K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?Yes 8%

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

PM $49.1K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Martin Short be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

K 19.8K contracts

Will Matthew Rhys be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%

Will Steve Carell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Yes 87.5%

SC-02 House Election Winner

PM $49.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?Yes 12.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

Massachusetts Governor margin of victory

K 19.7K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 79%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 72%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?Yes 97.9%

NY-15 House Election Winner

PM $49.0K

Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat?Yes 1.6%

Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026?Yes 98.5%

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

K 19.7K contracts

Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 5000000 for fiscal year 2026?Yes 67%

Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026?Yes 41%

+7 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?Yes 97.3%

CT-04 House Election Winner

PM $48.9K

Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?Yes 1.8%

Will the 2026 Alaska Senate election consist of 3 rounds?Yes 38.5%

Alaska Senate election: number of rounds

K 19.5K contracts

Will the 2026 Alaska Senate election consist of 1 rounds?Yes 38.5%

Will the 2026 Alaska Senate election consist of 2 rounds?Yes 20.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes 47.8%

Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?

PM $48.9K

Will Vusimuzi Soqaga be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes 22.1%

Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes 20%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (0)Yes 27%

How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (2)Yes 21.5%

How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (1)Yes 20%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.3%

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

PM $48.9K

Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Yes 0.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $48.8K · K 14.3K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.3%Rules differK Yes 96.6%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NJ-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.8%Rules differK Yes 3%

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NJ-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.2%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 52%

Will Chuck Schumer be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 30%

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 4.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

KalshiWorld

Kash Patel departure announced?

Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 16%

Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Yes 96%

AL-01 House Election Winner

PM $48.7K

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?Yes 3.5%

Nebraska Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 47%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 34.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 28.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?Yes 96%

ID-01 House Election Winner

PM $48.7K

Will the Democratic Party win the ID-01 House seat?Yes 3.1%

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 80.5%

Will Pedro Sánchez become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 16.5%

Will Santiago Abascal become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 5.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Aug 22, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?Yes 97.3%

MA-04 House Election Winner

PM $48.6K

Will the Republican Party win the MA-04 House seat?Yes 1.2%

PM $48.6K · K 201.8K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NY-03 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 91.1%

Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 8.2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will any federal or state court rule issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54.5%

Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts?

K 19.3K contracts

3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

K 19.3K contracts

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (El-Sayed)Yes 93.5%

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Dividend / Stimulus)Yes 90%

+29 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-30 House seat?Yes 97.3%

TX-30 House Election Winner

PM $48.6K

Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?Yes 2%

Will Chamath Palihapitiya join Trump's sovereign wealth fund?Yes 3.5%

Who will join Trump's sovereign wealth fund before 2027?

K 19.3K contracts

Will Bill Ackman join Trump's sovereign wealth fund?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?Yes 95.5%

SC-04 House Election Winner

PM $48.4K

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?Yes 4.2%

Will the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit rule vacates or reverses, in whole or in part and on any ground including ripeness, the preliminary injunction barring enforcement of Act 174 of 2024's foreign-ownership restrictions on digital asset mining businesses?Yes 33%

Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?

K 19.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat?Yes 96.2%

KY-03 House Election Winner

PM $48.4K

Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?Yes 2.2%

Will the White House Press Secretary say Trump (3+ times) at her next press briefing?Yes 65%

What will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing?

K 19.2K contracts

Will the White House Press Secretary say Economy / Economic at her next press briefing?Yes 51.5%

Will the White House Press Secretary say Iran / Iranian at her next press briefing?Yes 49.5%

+23 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?Yes 98.2%

DE-AL House Election Winner

PM $48.3K

Will the Republican Party win the DE-AL House seat?Yes 0.3%

Will it be reported that the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%

Will the DOJ reopen its investigation into Powell?

K 19.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 18?

PM $48.2K

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes >99.9%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes <0.1%

+8 more

KalshiTech

Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?

K 19.1K contracts

Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 87%

Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 19.5%

Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 17%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?Yes 98%

GA-04 House Election Winner

PM $48.2K

Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?Yes 1.6%

Will Aleksandar Vučić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Yes 69.5%

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

K 19.0K contracts

Will Ilija Srdanović become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Yes 20%

Will Ana Brnabić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?Yes 3.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?Yes 97.5%

MD-04 House Election Winner

PM $48.1K

Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?Yes 0.4%