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Showing 1,729-1,776 of 1,808 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
K 5 contractsWhich companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (OpenAI)Yes 85%
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Google)Yes 78%
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Meta)Yes 61%
+30 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Burger King Double Whopper price in October
K 4.94 contractsWill the average U.S. price of Burger King Double Whopper for October 2026 be at least $8.10?Yes 96.5%
Will the average U.S. price of Burger King Double Whopper for October 2026 be at least $8.11?Yes 90%
Will the average U.S. price of Burger King Double Whopper for October 2026 be at least $8.12?Yes 70%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 4.5 contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026
K 3 contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 20, 2026 be above 38.6%?Yes 98%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 20, 2026 be above 43.5%?Yes 95%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 20, 2026 be above 45.3%?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2032
K 3 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
K 2.43 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?
K 2.18 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026
K 2.09 contractsWill Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 220 new customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 90%
Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 235 new customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 78%
Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 250 new customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 61%
+2 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026
K 2.02 contractsWill The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 3% comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 3.5% comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 90%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 4% comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline May 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Top Text to Speech AI this week
K 2 contractsTop Text to Speech AI this week? (ElevenLabs)Yes 85%
Top Text to Speech AI this week? (Google)Yes 3.5%
Top Text to Speech AI this week? (Cartesia)Yes 3.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2031
K 2 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2032 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026
K 2 contractsWill Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 60%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 40%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026
K 1.12 contractsWill BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 42.9 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026?Yes 84%
Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.1 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026?Yes 69%
Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.3 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Jun 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US defaults before 2030?
K 1 contractsWill the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026
K 1 contractsWill monday.com Ltd. report Above 111% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 112% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026?Yes 69%
Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 113% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026?Yes 45%
+4 moreNext deadline May 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 18, 2026
K 1 contractsAt least 2,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 18, 2026?Yes 89%
At least 3,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 18, 2026?Yes 50%
At least 2,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 18, 2026?Yes 49%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 0.45 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be between 29000 and 29099.9900 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 13%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29100 and 29199.9900 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 12.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28800 and 28899.9900 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 12.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US nominal GDP growth in 2030
K 0.1 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 0.0%?Yes 95.5%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 0.5%?Yes 93%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 1.0%?Yes 90%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics

When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada?
K 0 contractsWill the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

AI app downloads array index in October 2026
K 0 contractsWill AI app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 650?Yes 50.5%
Will AI app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 700?Yes 50.3%
Will AI app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 750?Yes 50.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 76.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 73.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.1%Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.0%Yes 60.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.2%Yes 60%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.7%Yes 56%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.9%Yes 54.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 33.5%Yes 52.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 35.4%Yes 52%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.6%Yes 57%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.4%Yes 52.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.5%Yes 43%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Which U.S. restaurant will rank highest in 2026?
K 0 contractsHighest ranked US restaurant: SmythYes 50%
Highest ranked US restaurant: Atelier CrennYes 49.5%
Highest ranked US restaurant: SaisonYes 49%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Taiwan rate decision in December
K 0 contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?Yes 62%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) hike 1-12.5bps at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?Yes 34%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) hike more than 12.5bps at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will core CPI be above headline CPI in October?
K 0 contractsWill core CPI inflation MoM exceed headline CPI inflation MoM for October 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 8.1%Yes 95%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 9.6%Yes 88.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 9.9%Yes 87%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 10.2%Yes 58%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 52.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.5%Yes 52%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US crude oil exports in November
K 0 contractsWill the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.5 million barrels/day?Yes 52%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.0 million barrels/day?Yes 50%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Number of data centers in Georgia this year?
K 0 contractsWill Georgia have at least 280 data centers this year?Yes 94.5%
Will Georgia have at least 290 data centers this year?Yes 70%
Will Georgia have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?
K 0 contractsWill U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?Yes 85%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.1%Yes 57.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.4%Yes 53.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.1%Yes 51.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

GitLab customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027
K 0 contractsWill GitLab Inc. report Above 1640 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1660 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 91%
Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1680 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 78%
+3 moreNext deadline May 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Top Text to Image AI this week
K 0 contractsTop Text to Image AI this week? (OpenAI)Yes 92%
Top Text to Image AI this week? (Google)Yes 4%
Top Text to Image AI this week? (SpaceXAI)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 81.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 78%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 75%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 84%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 74.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 75.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 74.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027
K 0 contractsWill Samsara Inc. report Above 3850 large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Samsara Inc. report Above 3900 large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027?Yes 91%
Will Samsara Inc. report Above 3950 large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in fiscal 2026
K 0 contractsWill Klaviyo Inc. report Above 4950 customers with over $50k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5025 customers with over $50k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5100 customers with over $50k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 59%
+2 moreNext deadline May 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Loudoun Water data center potable water use in Q1 2027
K 0 contractsWill Loudoun Water data center potable water use for Q1 2027 be above 150 million gallons?Yes 90%
Will Loudoun Water data center potable water use for Q1 2027 be above 200 million gallons?Yes 80%
Will Loudoun Water data center potable water use for Q1 2027 be above 250 million gallons?Yes 48%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiEconomics

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026
K 0 contractsWill MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 96 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 91%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 97 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 84%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 98 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline May 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.2%Yes 80%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.4%Yes 75.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.2%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
K 0 contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.3%Yes 59.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.0%Yes 47%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.7%Yes 47%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be below 28500 at the end of Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 17%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29500 and 29599.9900 at the end of Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29200 and 29299.9900 at the end of Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28299.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 93%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28229.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 92.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28189.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 92.5%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions Escalator
K 0 contractsDK Metcalf Receptions EscalatorYes 43%
Rico Dowdle Receptions EscalatorYes 41.5%
Jaylen Warren Receptions EscalatorYes 41.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC