Browse prediction markets

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?Yes 1.8%

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

PM $198.3K

Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

K 54.6K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes 43.9%

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

PM $189.9K

Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 160 million board feet?Yes 96.5%

Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027

K 54.0K contracts

Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 180 million board feet?Yes 85%

Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?Yes 44.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2027 UTC

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETView outcomes

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

PM $187.6K

1 mkt

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?

PM $187.0K · K 29.8K contracts

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.7%Rules differK Yes 7%

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18

K 53.8K contracts

Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%

Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 178T tokens?Yes 2.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $25/MTok in 2026?Yes 11.5%

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?

K 53.1K contracts

Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $20/MTok in 2026?Yes 7.5%

Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $15/MTok in 2026?Yes 4%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?Yes 39.5%

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

PM $183.6K

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Bedrock)Yes 97.5%

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

K 50.6K contracts

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Trainium)Yes 92.5%

+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 22.5%

Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $173.4K

Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 18.2%

Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 5.7%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Meta headcount in 2026

K 49.3K contracts

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes 93.5%

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $173.1K

Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 90%

Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes 85%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026

K 48.9K contracts

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 92.5%

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91%

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 84.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 11.7%

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $170.5K

Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 10.2%

Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 10.1%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiWorld

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

K 48.8K contracts

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%

Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 55.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 72.4%

Will Ink launch a token by ___?

PM $170.3K

Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 67.5%

Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 24%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%

Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?

K 47.8K contracts

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 35%

Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $168.2K

Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 16.5%

Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 1%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 75%

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th

K 47.3K contracts

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%

+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.3%

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

PM $151.4K

What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Siri)Yes 93.5%

What will Apple say during their next earnings call?

K 46.9K contracts

What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (iPhone 18)Yes 91%

What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 88.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 60.5%

Will Oro launch a token by ___?

PM $150.2K

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 44%

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?

K 45.5K contracts

Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC

Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 66.5%

Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $148.4K

Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes 44.5%

Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes 25.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiTech

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026

K 44.9K contracts

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 182 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 95.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 95%

Will Cambria launch a token by ___?

PM $148.4K

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $1040.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 95%

How low will ZEC get in October?

K 42.8K contracts

Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $1030.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 54.5%

Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $1060.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 54.5%

+90 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 19?Yes 99.6%

Ethereum above ___ on October 19?

PM $144.3K

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 19?Yes 98.9%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 19?Yes 96%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $20/MTok in 2026?Yes 5.5%

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?

K 42.3K contracts

Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $15/MTok in 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $10/MTok in 2026?Yes 5.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes 8.8%

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

PM $137.7K

Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes 8%

Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes 6.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

K 40.8K contracts

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 32%

Will BULK launch a token by ___?

PM $136.7K

Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will ZEC trimmed mean be above $1750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 57%

How high will ZEC get in October?

K 39.9K contracts

Will ZEC trimmed mean be above $1740.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 56%

Will ZEC trimmed mean be above $1850.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 54%

+73 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Yes 31.6%

What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?

PM $136.6K

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?Yes 6.5%

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?Yes 3.6%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

TV shows cancelled this year

K 39.3K contracts

Which shows will be cancelled this year? (Late Night With Seth Meyers)Yes 14%

Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon)Yes 8%

Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Daily Show)Yes 8%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes 3.4%

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

PM $136.1K

PM $133.0K · K 1.81M contracts

PolymarketKalshiCrypto

When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 61.5%

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?

K 39.1K contracts

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 8%

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 4%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will BTC hit $70,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 29%

Will BTC hit $70,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?

K 38.8K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC