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Showing 145-192 of 496 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 65%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.6K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
K 39.1K contractsHow much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 61.5%
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 8%
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.6K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 35.1K contractsWill the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.09 by Dec 31?Yes 92%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?Yes 89.5%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.69 by Dec 31?Yes 63%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
K 35.1K contractsWhen will Tesla release Model Y to the public?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game?
K 34.5K contractsWill Disney+ run an ad during the Big Game 2027?Yes 90%
Will OpenAI / ChatGPT run an ad during the Big Game 2027?Yes 87%
Will Amazon Prime run an ad during the Big Game 2027?Yes 86%
+17 moreNext deadline Feb 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO?
K 34.3K contractsWhen will Databricks officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 61.5%
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? (Before Nov 1, 2027)Yes 56.5%
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? (Before Dec 1, 2027)Yes 55.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
K 34.0K contractsWill Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026
K 32.7K contractsWill Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?Yes 92%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?Yes 72%
+11 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?
K 32.2K contractsWill xAI release a video game before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 31.6K contractsWhat will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)Yes 93.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Newark)Yes 86.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil)Yes 82%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
K 31.5K contractsWill Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel to the public before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
K 31.3K contractsWhen will Stripe IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 11.5%
When will Stripe IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9%
When will Stripe IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 8.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 30.3K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 98.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?Yes 98.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
K 29.6K contractsWhen will Discord IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 49%
When will Discord IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 35%
When will Discord IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 24.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
K 29.5K contractsWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Same Store Sales)Yes 94.5%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Distribution Center)Yes 91%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Brazil)Yes 90.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?
K 29.3K contractsWhen will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 12.5%
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 12.5%
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026
K 29.0K contractsWill Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55 million monthly transacting users in 2026?Yes 84%
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?Yes 78%
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 56 million monthly transacting users in 2026?Yes 71.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.1K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Cava say during their next earnings call?
K 26.4K contractsWhat will CAVA say during their next earnings call? (Traffic)Yes 95%
What will CAVA say during their next earnings call? (Same Restaurant / Same Store)Yes 94.5%
What will CAVA say during their next earnings call? (Catering)Yes 86.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027?
K 25.6K contractsWhen will Dodge release Dodge Challenger Hellcat to the public?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
K 25.4K contractsWill Ramp or Brex IPO first? (Ramp)Yes 85.5%
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? (Brex)Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
K 25.2K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (ChatGPT)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (Claude)Yes 41%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (DeepSeek)Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 24.8K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.7%Yes 43%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.8%Yes 41.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 33.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
K 24.5K contractsWill Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?Yes 74%
Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?Yes 22%
Will No Listed Underwriter serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 23.9K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 23.7K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Olivia Dean)Yes 3.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Charli xcx)Yes 3%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 3%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.4K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 87%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 82.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
K 22.6K contractsWill Troy Rohrbaugh succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?Yes 47%
Will Doug Petno succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?Yes 33%
Will Jennifer Piepszak succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.5K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Brex officially announce an IPO?
K 20.8K contractsWhen will Brex IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9%
When will Brex IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Brex IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Google say during their next earnings call?
K 20.8K contractsWhat will Alphabet say during their next earnings call? (Gemini (3+ times))Yes 97%
What will Alphabet say during their next earnings call? (AI Mode)Yes 89%
What will Alphabet say during their next earnings call? (CodeMender)Yes 83.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?
K 20.7K contractsWhen will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026
K 20.6K contractsWill Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4320 total restaurant count in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4300 total restaurant count in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4310 total restaurant count in 2026?Yes 94%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026
K 20.5K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 790 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 810 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC