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Showing 145-192 of 634 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 16.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7%
Will the maximum temperature be >69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 18?
PM $21.7KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiHealth

Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 17%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

How strong will Champi be?
PM $21.2KWill Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes 54%
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?Yes 46.5%
Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 15.0K contractsWill Minnesota’s annual-average employment in Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing for 2026 be above 18,200 jobs?Yes 92.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PM $20.9KWill a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.7%
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 14.8K contractsWill Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37%
Will Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PM $20.6KMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 14.8K contractsWill there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 66%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 19?
PM $20.4KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Yes 65.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 19?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 14.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
Will the maximum temperature be >79° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $19.4KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
K 14.5K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 18?
PM $19.3KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 86%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Yes 6%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 4%
+8 more
KalshiTech

Rain in Denver in Oct 2026?
K 14.3K contractsRain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 16.5%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 7%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $19.2KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
K 13.9K contractsRain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $18.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 13.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
PM $17.7KWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.5K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 77.5%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $17.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate

Hurricane Trudy category?
K 13.3K contractsWill Trudy become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

US Tornadoes in October 2026
PM $17.2KWill there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 80%
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 18, 2026?
K 13.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 19?
PM $16.8KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19?Yes 68.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 19?Yes 4.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather

When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 13.2K contractsWill Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Karachi on October 18?
PM $16.2KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
2 mkts
KalshiClimate and Weather

India meets its 2030 climate goals?
K 13.1K contractsWill India meet its climate goals?Yes 67.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2031 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?
PM $15.9KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 17?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 17?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate

Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
K 13.0K contractsWill there be more than 25 tornadoes in October?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?Yes 71.5%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in October?Yes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 19?
PM $15.6KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 19?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 19?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will New Jersey pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 12.8K contractsWill New Jersey’s annual-average employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for 2026 be above 30,300 jobs?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 20?
PM $15.3KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 20?Yes 10.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
K 12.8K contractsWill there be a case of polio in the USA this year?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
PM $15.2KWill the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?Yes 38.5%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?Yes 30.5%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather

This Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever?
K 12.5K contractsWill Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?Yes 83%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Madrid on October 19?
PM $15.1KWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 12.4K contractsWill Casa Tupka Anthemo rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 15%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketHealth

Plague case in US by December 31?
PM $14.4KPlague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 19?
PM $14.4KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 38.5%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 27%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $14.4KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?
K 11.8K contractsWill NYC subway ridership reach 90% of the pre-Covid average before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will NYC subway ridership reach 100% of the pre-Covid average before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $14.2KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Hurricane Moke category?
K 11.5K contractsWill Moke become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $14.2KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 71%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 18?Yes 0.6%
+8 more