Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 2,017-2,064 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-47 House winner?
PM $29.3K · K 7.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-47?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-47?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 3.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 95%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
PM $29.2KWill Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes 67%
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?
K 11.1K contractsWho will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 51.5%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 35%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Barrasso)Yes 11%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-04 House Election Winner
PM $29.2KWill the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes 86.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Cinematography
K 11.1K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 77.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
PM $29.1KWill José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 82%
Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 10.4%
Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 3.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
K 11.1K contractsWill Giorgia Meloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 30%
Will Elly Schlein become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 24%
Will Giuseppe Conte become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 22, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-32 House Election Winner
PM $29.1KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in California?
PM $29.0K · K 27.0K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
Related contracts
PM Yes 78%Rules differK Yes 75%
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 47 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
Related contracts
PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 12%
Will Democrats win exactly 46 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 46 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 1.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
K 11.1K contractsWill Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 98%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
K 11.1K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean))Yes 57%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Dracula (with JENNIE))Yes 57%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Bring Your Love)Yes 57%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $29.0KWill Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 65%
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 19.5%
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 9%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-17 House election: Effie Phillips-Staley vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2%
Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $28.9KWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 26.7%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 24.6%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 17.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major in 2027
K 11.0K contractsWill Scottie Scheffler win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 58%
Will Rory McIlroy win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will Ludvig Aberg win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 27%
+109 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
PM $28.9KWill Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Yes 5.5%
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
K 11.0K contractsWill the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 64.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-08 House Election Winner
PM $28.9KWill the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Governor election: Larry Rhoden vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Larry Rhoden receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
Will Larry Rhoden receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 85.5%
Will Larry Rhoden receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 73%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $28.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Las Vegas Pro Basketball Expansion Franchise Price
K 11.0K contractsLas Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise price above $8 billionYes 66%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise price above $9 billionYes 53%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise price above $10 billionYes 52.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Campeche Governor Election Winner
PM $28.8KWill Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 67.5%
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 18.4%
Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 0.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Mark Alford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 98%
Will Mark Alford receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Mark Alford receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
PM $28.7KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.1%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Critter Milton vote percent
K 10.9K contractsWill Critter Milton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 36.5%
Will Critter Milton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 14.5%
Will Critter Milton receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?
PM $28.7KWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Yes 83.5%
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
K 10.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
PM $28.7KWill the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-03 House winner?
K 10.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for UT-03?Yes 98.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-03?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?
PM $28.7KNo-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
K 10.9K contractsWill AfD be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?Yes 61.5%
Will BSW be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?Yes 17.5%
Will CDU be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner
PM $28.7KWill Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes 90.5%
Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tocantins Governor winner?
K 10.9K contractsWill Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes 78%
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
PM $28.6KIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?Yes 95.9%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 10.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
PM $28.5KWill Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 71.6%
Will Sergio Sullca Condori win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 6.8%
Will Federico Huamán Tapara win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 5.3%
+11 more
KalshiPolitics
Czech National Bank rate decision in November
K 10.8K contractsWill the Czech National Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Bank Board monetary policy meeting?Yes 90.5%
Will the Czech National Bank maintain the current rate at the November Bank Board monetary policy meeting?Yes 6.5%
Will the Czech National Bank cut 1-25bps at the November Bank Board monetary policy meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-10 House Election Winner
PM $28.5KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
K 10.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 49%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 37.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-09 House Election Winner
PM $28.4KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?
K 10.8K contractsWhat will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Hyperscaler)Yes 90%
What will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Rubin (3+ times))Yes 89.5%
What will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (DSX)Yes 75%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
PM $28.4KWill Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes 95.7%
Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes 3.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Shopify Inc. report Above $460 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 98%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $480 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $470 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $28.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
PM $28.3K · K 407.5K contractsWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?
Related contracts
PM Yes 51%Rules differK Yes 49.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance
K 10.8K contractsGrammy nominees for Best Pop Solo Performance? (hate that i made you love me)Yes 57%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Solo Performance? (The Fate of Ophelia)Yes 57%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Solo Performance? (Risk It All)Yes 55%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC