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Showing 193-240 of 504 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026
K 20.5K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 790 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 810 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?
K 18.6K contractsWill JPM get a new CEO by a given date?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
K 18.4K contractsWill Mizuho take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 91%
Will Allen & Company take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 55.5%
Will William Blair take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Netflix say during their next earnings call?
K 17.9K contractsWhat will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Live Event)Yes 95.5%
What will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition)Yes 94.5%
What will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Competition)Yes 91.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
K 16.8K contractsWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (GLP-1)Yes 84%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 83%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (Produce)Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
K 16.7K contractsWhat will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)Yes 96%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation)Yes 94%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)Yes 93%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 73%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?
K 15.8K contractsWhen will Waymo officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 23.5%
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 18%
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? (Before Nov 1, 2027)Yes 16.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
K 15.5K contractsWhat will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (International)Yes 90%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Revenue Guidance)Yes 84.5%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Maven)Yes 82%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
K 15.4K contractsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before 2028)Yes 95%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before July 2027)Yes 91%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before April 2027)Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
K 14.9K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 780 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 800 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 810 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
K 14.9K contractsWill SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 14.7K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 54.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 60.5%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 16%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Moonshot)Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 13.5K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 15.0%Yes 82.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.3%Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026
K 13.5K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $205 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $215 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla headcount in 2026
K 13.1K contractsWill Tesla, Inc. report above 120000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 86%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Canva officially announce an IPO?
K 13.0K contractsWhen will Canva officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 53%
When will Canva officially announce an IPO? (Before Dec 1, 2027)Yes 40%
When will Canva officially announce an IPO? (Before Nov 1, 2027)Yes 38.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Sprouts say during their next earnings call?
K 12.9K contractsWhat will Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (E-commerce)Yes 90%
What will Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Personalization)Yes 86.5%
What will Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 80.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
X re-launches Vine this year?
K 12.8K contractsX re-launches Vine in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total production in 2026
K 12.8K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total production in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total production in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total production in 2026?Yes 96%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech?
K 12.6K contractsWill any tech company announce One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?
K 12.0K contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 38%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top podcast on Spotify in 2026?
K 11.8K contractsWhat will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Joe Rogan Experience)Yes 91%
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von)Yes 3%
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett)Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?
K 11.8K contractsWill NYC subway ridership reach 90% of the pre-Covid average before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will NYC subway ridership reach 100% of the pre-Covid average before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
K 11.7K contractsWill Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40.5%
Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 38%
Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 35.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Skims officially announce an IPO?
K 11.7K contractsWhen will Skims officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 39.5%
When will Skims officially announce an IPO? (Before Dec 1, 2027)Yes 34.5%
When will Skims officially announce an IPO? (Before Nov 1, 2027)Yes 30.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy?
K 11.7K contractsWill NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy Inc. succeed before 2028?Yes 79.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
How many companies will go bankrupt this year?
K 11.6K contractsHow many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year? (Above 550)Yes 97.5%
How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year? (Above 600)Yes 96.5%
How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year? (Above 650)Yes 91.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Hims say during their next earnings call?
K 11.5K contractsWhat will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Peptide)Yes 92%
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Wegovy)Yes 88%
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FDA)Yes 88%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026
K 11.5K contractsWill American Express Company report Above 156 million cards-in-force (total) in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%
Will American Express Company report Above 157 million cards-in-force (total) in fiscal 2026?Yes 57%
Will American Express Company report Above 158 million cards-in-force (total) in fiscal 2026?Yes 36.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 23, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
K 11.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press?
K 11.0K contractsWhat will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 99.5%
What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Iran / Iranian)Yes 99.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
K 11.0K contractsWill the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 64.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC