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Showing 2,545-2,592 of 7,555 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
Texas Governor margin of victory
K 8.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $22.3KWill Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Yes 31.5%
Will Maurice Vunobolki win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Yes 26.9%
Will Omar Suleiman win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Yes 9.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-04 House winner?
K 8.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-04?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-04?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-08 House Election Winner
PM $22.3KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
K 8.3K contractsWill anyone win the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary outright?Yes 97%
Will anyone win the 2026 Louisiana 2nd Congressional District open primary outright?Yes 96.5%
Will anyone win the 2026 Louisiana 3rd Congressional District open primary outright?Yes 92.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo
PM $22.2KWill Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes 85.5%
Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election?Yes 10.7%
Will Republicans sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes 1.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?
K 8.3K contractsWill the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Greenland snap election called by December 31?
PM $22.1KGreenland snap election called by December 31?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire State House winner?
K 8.2K contractsWho will win the New Hampshire State House? (Democratic party)Yes 80%
Who will win the New Hampshire State House? (Republican party)Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-02 House Election Winner
PM $22.0KWill the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?Yes 95.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $22.0K · K 57.1K contractsWill the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Connecticut
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.7%Rules differK Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 3.6%
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 3.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 8.2K contractsWill there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 74%
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 37.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-02 House winner?
K 8.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NC-02?Yes 98.3%
Will Republican win the House race for NC-02?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $22.0KWill Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes 68%
Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes 22.9%
Will Nkwoala Emeka win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-03 House election: Hillary Scholten vote percent
K 8.2K contractsWill Hillary Scholten receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Hillary Scholten receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Hillary Scholten receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 19?
PM $22.0KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 2.5%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
K 8.2K contractsWill Democrats win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?Yes 69%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?Yes 24%
Will John Fetterman win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PM $21.9KLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Governor margin of victory
K 8.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 97.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PM $21.9KGreek snap election scheduled in 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
K 8.2K contractsWill Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 79.5%
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 11%
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 22.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 18.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor-Senate combo
K 8.2K contractsWill Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 81.5%
Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 13.5%
Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
PM $21.8KWill Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 96.1%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 2.8%
Will Nikolai Denkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 0.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
K 8.1K contractsWill it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99%
Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 1.5%
Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $21.8KWill Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes 56.5%
Will Jo-Dee Burbach win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes 26.5%
Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory
K 8.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 92.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 2nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?Yes 88.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-04 House Election Winner
PM $21.8KWill the Democratic Party win the PA-04 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-04 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 28%
Will Bad Bunny be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-02 House Election Winner
PM $21.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?Yes 98.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?Yes 0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-25 House election: Virginia McIntyre vote percent
K 8.1K contractsWill Virginia McIntyre receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Virginia McIntyre receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Virginia McIntyre receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 44%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-04 House winner?
K 8.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SC-04?Yes 94.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-04?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PM $21.7KWill Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 51.5%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 30%
Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 5.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri governor winner? (2028)
K 8.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MissouriYes 94.8%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MissouriYes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PM $21.6KWill National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes 33.5%
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes 26.5%
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?Yes 18.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?
K 8.0K contractsWill Initiative 1 pass?Yes 29.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
PM $21.6KWill Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
K 8.0K contractsWill Ashley Moody receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Ashley Moody receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 92%
Will Ashley Moody receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maine Senate and Governor Combo
PM $21.6KWill Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 55%
Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?Yes 41.5%
Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?
K 8.0K contractsWill Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-08 House Election Winner
PM $21.6KWill the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes 87.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 94.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-33 House Election Winner
PM $21.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
K 8.0K contractsWill Michael Faulkender be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 37%
Will Paula Tkac be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 31.5%
Will Marc Sumerlin be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 31%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $21.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 16.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC