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Showing 2,689-2,736 of 7,129 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.6K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 67.5%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 57%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
PM $18.8KNguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Florida mail votes will be cast?
K 7.6K contractsWill the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
K 7.6K contractsWill the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 24%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-14 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-14?Yes 89.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-14?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-02 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-02?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-02?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-24 House election: Tony Macula vote percent
K 7.6K contractsWill Tony Macula receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Tony Macula receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2%
Will Tony Macula receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PM $18.7KNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota State Auditor winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 63.5%
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 38%
Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
K 7.5K contractsWill Mette Frederiksen be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 32.5%
Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 19.5%
Will Keir Starmer be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor margin of victory
K 7.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-31 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Georgia?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 92%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 4.5%
Will Democrats win fewer than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-25 House election: Kloud Walton vote percent
K 7.5K contractsWill Kloud Walton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 16.5%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 5.5%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-02 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CO-02?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CO-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 11.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-12 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-12?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-12?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
PM $18.5KWill Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 75%
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 23.5%
Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-13 House election: Leela Gray vote percent
K 7.5K contractsWill Leela Gray receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 97%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 96%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
K 7.5K contractsWill Barack Obama endorse Mary Peltola in Alaska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Barack Obama endorse Karen Bass in Los Angeles Mayor before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 12%
Will Barack Obama endorse Dan Osborn in Nebraska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.5KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?Yes 26.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?Yes 24.6%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-20 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-20?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-20?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US defaults on debt by 2027?
PM $18.5KUS defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 8th District margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Senate margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?
PM $18.5KWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 37%
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 14.5%
+3 more
KalshiPolitics
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
K 7.4K contractsExactly 1 peopleYes 84.5%
Exactly 2 peopleYes 15.5%
Exactly 3 peopleYes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
K 7.4K contractsWill Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84%
Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 83.5%
Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 73.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PM $18.5KWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama
K 7.4K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 95%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will China abolish hukou?
K 7.4K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 15.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 11%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
PM $18.5KWill Democrats win exactly 12 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?
K 7.4K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 1 seat in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?Yes 91%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?Yes 8%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN flies with Trump by..?
PM $18.5KWill CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC