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Showing 3,265-3,312 of 7,207 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland?
K 5.4K contractsWill Question 2 pass?Yes 77.5%
Will Question 1 pass?Yes 76.5%
Will Question 3 pass?Yes 66%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 8%
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 3rd District margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 91.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 51.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 24%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins independents?
K 5.4K contractsWill Democrats win independents in the exit poll?Yes 78%
Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 34.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-05 House winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-05?Yes 98%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-05?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
PM $13.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 39%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?Yes 9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-04 House winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-04?Yes 96%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-04?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform
K 5.4K contractsWill Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40.5%
Will Addison Rae perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Alani Bankhead drop out?
K 5.4K contractsWill Alani Bankhead drop out of the 2026 Montana Senate race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 36%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Serbian presidential election winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Yes 51.5%
Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Yes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
PM $13.5KWill The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 32%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.1%
Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 18%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent
K 5.4K contractsWill Shomari Figures receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Shomari Figures receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Shomari Figures receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?
K 5.4K contractsWill Sheldon Whitehouse be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 54%
Will Mike Lee be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%
Will Ted Cruz be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 11%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?
K 5.4K contractsWill Sara Duterte be out as Vice President of the Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-28 House winner?
PM $13.4K · K 234.8K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91%Rules differK Yes 92.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 8.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Governor margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 70%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 56%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 44%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Governor margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 92.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 36%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-07 House election: Claire Valdez vote percent
K 5.4K contractsWill Claire Valdez receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Claire Valdez receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Claire Valdez receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PM $13.4KWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?
K 5.4K contractsWill Tennessee regulate data center water use?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Drama Series
K 5.4K contractsWill The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93%
Will Paradise be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%
Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PM $13.4KJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 26th District margin of victory
K 5.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
K 5.3K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 78%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-05 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AL-05?Yes 94%
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-05?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New York Governor Election: Turnout
PM $13.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Yes 42%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Yes 14.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
K 5.3K contractsWill California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member be charged with a fraud crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent
K 5.3K contractsWill Stacy Garrity receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 88%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PM $13.3KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 36%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 26%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-01 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-01?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-01?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more?Yes 18.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate winner? (2028)
K 5.3K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 82.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PM $13.2KWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC