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Showing 3,265-3,312 of 8,682 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NY-04 House winner?
PM $15.6K · K 89.3K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93%Rules differK Yes 93.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NY-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.6%Rules differK Yes 6.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill Colorado’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 679.21?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-08 House winner?
K 9.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AZ-08?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-08?Yes 11%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 12% or more?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Uber Ride App Downloads in October
K 9.5K contractsWill Uber Ride App Downloads for October 2026 be above 91 ?Yes 95.5%
Will Uber Ride App Downloads for October 2026 be above 97 ?Yes 71.5%
Will Uber Ride App Downloads for October 2026 be above 99 ?Yes 48.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
K 9.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 65%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
PM $15.6KSaudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO?
K 9.4K contractsWhen will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 8%
When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 7%
When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PM $15.6KChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Director
K 9.4K contractsWill Christopher Nolan be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 95%
Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Denis Villeneuve be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 15.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)
K 9.4K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Wisconsin?Yes 62.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Wisconsin?Yes 37%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
K 9.4K contractsWill percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 56.0%?Yes 79%
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 58.0%?Yes 68%
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NH-02 House winner?
K 9.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NH-02?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for NH-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
K 9.4K contractsWill anyone win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial general election in the first round?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
K 9.4K contractsWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $15.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 15.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kenya Senate election winner?
K 9.4K contractsWho will win the next Kenyan Senate election? (Coalition including ODM)Yes 52%
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election? (Coalition including UDA)Yes 41%
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election? (Coalition including DCP)Yes 6.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Aug 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 14.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 14%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US existing home · Median sales price in October
K 9.4K contractsWill Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N) for October 2026 be above $400,000?Yes 90%
Will Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N) for October 2026 be above $395,000?Yes 51.5%
Will Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N) for October 2026 be above $420,000?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 40.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will Putin visit the U.S.?
K 9.4K contractsWill Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 59%
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 59%
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Comedy
K 9.4K contractsWill Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma be on the list of nominees for Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
Will Club Kid be on the list of nominees for Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 55%
Will The Sheep Detectives be on the list of nominees for Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 50.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 17.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-08 House winner?
K 9.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-08?Yes 94.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-08?Yes 5.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?Yes 32.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,000,000 and 4,250,000?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?
K 9.4K contractsWho will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election? (Modern Revolutionary Party)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election? (People's Force)Yes 19%
Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election? (Dominican Liberation Party)Yes 4.9%
3 mktsNext deadline May 19, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Frank Bradley departure announced?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will Frank Bradley leave his position as USSOCOM Commander?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 28.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
K 9.3K contractsWill Elon Musk support the Democratic candidate in 2028?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.8%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Top U.S. Album by Total Equivalent Album Units: 2026
K 9.3K contractsWill I’m the Problem be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?Yes 78.5%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?Yes 11%
Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?Yes 3%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
K 9.3K contractsWill Denzel Washington perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?Yes 9%
Will John David Washington perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?Yes 4%
Will Winston Duke perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?Yes 3.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Montana's 1st District margin of victory
K 9.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 40.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?
K 9.2K contractsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 334?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?Yes 37.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?Yes 19.9%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?Yes 15.7%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Chipotle Foot Traffic in October
K 9.2K contractsWill Chipotle Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 92?Yes 98.5%
Will Chipotle Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 95?Yes 98.5%
Will Chipotle Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 98?Yes 85.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
PM $15.1K0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC