Browse prediction markets

Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 97%

Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

K 4.7K contracts

Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 89%

Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 66%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Maine's 2nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 12.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 36%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 24%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 11.2%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 51%

Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 30%

Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 91%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.3%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%

KalshiSports

College Football Teams to Qualify for a Bowl Game

Texas selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 90%

Georgia selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 88%

Oklahoma selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 85%

+117 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 23?

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 97.3%

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 97.3%

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 86.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

Kansas Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?Yes 33.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 20%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 13%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?

Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Yes 4.1%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 73.5%

Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 7%

Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

IA-03 House winner?

PM $13.0K · K 85.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for IA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for IA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve CagriSema?

Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 95%

Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%

Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?

Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?Yes 46%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.6%

ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 85.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner

Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 78%

Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Illinois's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 95.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 83%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 79.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 28%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 21.4%

KalshiElections

Will James Talarico outperform the polls?

Will James Talarico outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas?Yes 38%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3

Will Shopify Inc. report Above $110 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will Shopify Inc. report Above $113 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Shopify Inc. report Above $116 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 77.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC

OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.9%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.7%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Arizona's 7th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 94.8%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 94.1%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 92.6%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

MN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 35%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 27.5%

Alabama's 6th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 86%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 49.8%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 40.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?Yes 5.2%

1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 80.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 49%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,550,000 and 2,700,000?Yes 31.5%

Colorado Senate Election: Turnout

PM $12.9K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,700,000 and 2,850,000?Yes 26%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,400,000 and 2,550,000?Yes 21.5%

VA-06 House election: Ben Cline vote percent

Will Ben Cline receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Ben Cline receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 90.5%

Will Ben Cline receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 78%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 89%

Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 6.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 3.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

CO-01 House election: Chad Humphrey vote percent

Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 65%

Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 19.5%

Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 28.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.7%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

PA-10 House winner?

PM $12.8K · K 39.7K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10?

Related contracts

PM Yes 81%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-10?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Top 3 Fantasy D/ST

Will MIN Vikings D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 71.5%

Will PHI Eagles D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 55%

Will BUF Bills D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 54.5%

+29 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

Will James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 28.3%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?Yes 3.9%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes 47.5%

Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes 18.4%

Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?Yes 13.9%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

SC-06 House election: John Peterson vote percent

Will John Peterson receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will John Peterson receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 90.5%

Will John Peterson receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 83.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)