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Showing 3,697-3,744 of 7,610 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
US imports of goods from China in 2026
K 4.2K contractsWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?Yes 72.5%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?Yes 53%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CT-05 House winner?
PM $11.8K · K 8.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for CT-5?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.9%Rules differK Yes 94.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CT-5?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?
K 4.2K contractsWill Sylvia Luke be out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-05 House election: Mallory Dittmer vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Mallory Dittmer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 92%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Addison McDowell receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 89%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 76%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 61.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia Senate margin of victory
K 4.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 91.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 85.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 39%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?Yes 31.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 97%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 95%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 81%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 18.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 25%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.2K contractsWill Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 88%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 78.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 21?
PM $11.7KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?Yes 55%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-30?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-39 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-39?Yes 97.1%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-39?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.1K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 95.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 87.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 68%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Cape Town?
PM $11.6KWill Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 96.5%
Will Nontando Nolutshungu be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 1%
Will Ernest Theron be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 1%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate?
K 4.1K contractsWhat will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Budget / Deficit)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Data Center)Yes 83.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 4th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?
PM $11.6K · K 3.5K contractsWill SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will SDA win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 83.3%Rules differK Yes 61%
Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will NiP win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 50%
Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will HDZ BiH win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 49%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-10 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-10?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.1K contractsWill Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-04 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-04?Yes 95.8%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Juan Ciscomani receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 91%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 16.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
PM $11.5KWill Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30.5%
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-09 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 95.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
PM $11.5KWill Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 120000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 78%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 21?
PM $11.5KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 21?Yes 2.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-02 House election: Brandon Wade vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Brandon Wade receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 87%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nevada Secretary of State winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Nevada?Yes 88.5%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Nevada?Yes 9.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC