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Showing 4,129-4,176 of 8,007 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Addison McDowell receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 89%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 76%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 61.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 69%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

West Virginia Senate margin of victory
K 4.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 91.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 85.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 97%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 95%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 81%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 70.5%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 25%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.2K contractsWill Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 88%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 78.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-30 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-30?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-39 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-39?Yes 97.1%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-39?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.1K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 95.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 87.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 68%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate?
K 4.1K contractsWhat will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Budget / Deficit)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Data Center)Yes 83.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 4th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes 78.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?Yes 5.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-10 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-10?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $10.1KWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 81%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 11%
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 2.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.1K contractsWill Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 33.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 850,000 and 900,000?Yes 15.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-04 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-04?Yes 95.8%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PM $10.1KWill Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 72%
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 8.5%
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 2.2%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Juan Ciscomani receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 91%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
PM $10.1KWill the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54%
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 46.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-09 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 95.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
Will Anton Kozlík win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 120000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 78%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $10.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PM $10.0KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes 98.6%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-02 House election: Brandon Wade vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Brandon Wade receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 87%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nevada Secretary of State winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Nevada?Yes 88.5%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Nevada?Yes 9.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 95.5%
Will Miranda Rocca-Circelli win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 1.7%
Will Bob Johnston win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Yes 0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas Governor margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 66%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 30.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brandon, MB Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes 55%
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
K 4.1K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products during before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner
PM $9.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes 56%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nebraska Governor election: Jim Pillen vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Jim Pillen receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 88%
Will Jim Pillen receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 73%
Will Jim Pillen receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC