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Showing 385-432 of 1,156 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in October
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $23.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.8%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in November
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in November 2026?Yes 99%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in November 2026?Yes 96%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in November 2026?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?
PM $22.9KWill OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.1K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 83%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 13%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
PM $22.8KWill OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 62.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 22%
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
K 32.7K contractsWill Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.4 million?Yes 97.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.6 million?Yes 74%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.8 million?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $22.5KWill MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 13%
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 32.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.4%Yes 46.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 45.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.8%Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?
PM $22.2KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 50%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20.2%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 13.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
K 32.2K contractsWill a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly?Yes 50.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $22.2KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.7%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $22.1KWill Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?Yes 23.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will AOC endorse?
K 31.4K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Rashida Tlaib in MI-12 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 72%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Brad Lander in NY-10 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Donavan McKinney in MI-13 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $21.9KWill the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes 82%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 59.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027
K 31.3K contractsWill NVIDIA Corporation report above 46000 total employees in 2027?Yes 96%
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 48000 total employees in 2027?Yes 82%
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 50000 total employees in 2027?Yes 80.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
PM $21.9KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 77%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 38.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
World's best restaurant in 2026?
K 30.9K contractsWorld's best restaurant: Trèsind StudioYes 44.5%
World's best restaurant: SühringYes 44.5%
World's best restaurant: RealeYes 44.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $21.7KWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.1%
Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes <0.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 30.3K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 82%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 17.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
K 30.2K contractsWill Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 17.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?
K 29.9K contractsWhere will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Los Angeles Galaxy)Yes 22.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Sporting CP)Yes 14.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Wydad Casablanca)Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
PM $21.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.9%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting
K 29.8K contracts2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 84.5%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 81.5%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 79.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PM $21.1KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Yes 49.8%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Yes 26.4%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Yes 20%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 29.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in February 2027?Yes 61%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in February 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in February 2027?Yes 51%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
PM $20.5KWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Yes 2.3%
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $20.4KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.9%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 27.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 16%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Critical Discord Incident by...?
PM $20.2KCritical Discord Incident by November 30?Yes 35.5%
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in October
K 29.0K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok 5 released by...?
PM $19.8KWill Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 44%
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 28.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in February 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in February 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.25 in February 2027?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $19.7KWill Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 27.5%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 42%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30.4%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October
K 28.4K contractsWill Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 87 ?Yes 96.5%
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 89 ?Yes 91.5%
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 90 ?Yes 82.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.0KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.7%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New main Fast & Furious film officially announced in 2026?
K 27.9K contractsWill a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.4KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC