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Showing 4,273-4,320 of 7,936 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
K 3.9K contractsWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 71.5%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 52.5%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

State of Mexico Congress Election Winner
PM $8.7KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 90.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 6.5%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 1.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?
PM $8.7KTalarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2?Yes 20.5%
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2?Yes 18.5%
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?Yes 18%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 3.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.00 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-10 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 41.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Roy Cooper receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 96.5%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 87.5%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
K 3.9K contractsWill a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?
PM $8.6KWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52?
K 3.8K contractsWho will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Timothée Chalamet)Yes 62%
Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Pedro Pascal)Yes 44.5%
Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Jenna Ortega)Yes 39%
+45 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
PM $8.6KWill Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 14.5%
Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 8.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-04 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NJ-04?Yes 97.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-04?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.6KWill Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 72.5%
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 15%
Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 7.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.6K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 62.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 80000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 62.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
PM $8.5KHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?
K 3.8K contractsWill Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment pass?Yes 83%
Will Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment pass?Yes 70%
Will Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment pass?Yes 61.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Governor margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 94.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 28.5%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 27%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine Governor election: Bobby Charles vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Bobby Charles receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Bobby Charles receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 81.5%
Will Bobby Charles receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 67%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PM $8.5KWill Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Yes 14.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Yes 9.8%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Yes 6.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington Senate winner? (2028)
K 3.8K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Washington?Yes 94.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Washington?Yes 5.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $8.4KWill Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 11.5%
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado Governor margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Speaker of the House after the midterms?
PM $8.3KWill Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 89.5%
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 4.9%
Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 3.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-08 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NJ-08?Yes 97.9%
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-08?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Puebla Congress Election Winner
PM $8.3KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 81%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 6.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 6.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-07 House election: Scott Collier vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Scott Collier receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 98%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PM $8.3KWill Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Angie Nixon receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 83.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PM $8.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Florida Senate margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
PM $8.2KWill the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 99.4%
Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-07 House election: Darden Copeland vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Darden Copeland receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $8.2KWill the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 82%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 63%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Yes 27.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Fed abolished before 2027?
PM $8.2KFed abolished before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will China abolish birth limits?
K 3.8K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.2KWill Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 94.5%
Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-13 House election: Brad Knott vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Brad Knott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
PM $8.2KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 95.8%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 19th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Spain General Election: Turnout
PM $8.1KWill voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 34%
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 26%
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
K 3.8K contractsWill Adam Hamilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC