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Showing 3,553-3,600 of 8,367 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent
K 6.6K contractsWill Bob Smith receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 96.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
PM $14.6K · K 6.3K contractsWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 69%Rules differK Yes 58%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.86% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.86% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 56.5%Rules differK Yes 53%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.83% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 41.5%Rules differK Yes 41.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
K 6.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 18%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
K 6.6K contractsWill Ken Paxton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 78.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top 3 Fantasy RB
K 6.6K contractsWill Jahmyr Gibbs be a top 3 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 83%
Will Kenneth Walker III be a top 3 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 58%
Will Bijan Robinson be a top 3 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 57.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percent
K 6.6K contractsWill Marsha Blackburn receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
Will Marsha Blackburn receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 85.5%
Will Marsha Blackburn receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-09 House winner?
K 6.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MI-09?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-09?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Missouri St. vs Delaware
K 6.6K contractsDelaware winsYes 59%
Missouri St. winsYes 41%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percent
K 6.5K contractsWill Monica De La Cruz receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 69%
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 53%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Plzeň
PM $14.5KWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 96.9%
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.8%
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.5%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma's 5th District margin of victory
K 6.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 56%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Governor margin of victory
K 6.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 84.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
PM $14.5KWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Yes 93%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?Yes 79%
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Yes 62.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
K 6.5K contractsWill Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will Olivia Wilde be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 16.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Mexico gas prices tomorrow
K 6.5K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3050?Yes 98%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3100?Yes 96%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3150?Yes 93%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 25.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Duolingo daily active users in fiscal 2026
K 6.5K contractsWill Duolingo Inc. report Above 60.5 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 61 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 84%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 61.5 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
+15 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 15.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 28th District margin of victory
K 6.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 90.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 73%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.4KWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 41%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?
PM $14.4KWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 96.8%
Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 2.3%
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 0.8%
+9 more
KalshiPolitics
TX-19 House winner?
K 6.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-19?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-19?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?
K 6.5K contractsWill Minnesota taconite production for 2026 be above 28.525 million tons?Yes 43.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
PM $14.4KWill Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 72%
Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Governor election: Lynne Walz vote percent
K 6.5K contractsWill Lynne Walz receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Lynne Walz receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
Will Lynne Walz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 19.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?
K 6.5K contractsWill Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond, British Columbia mayoral election?Yes 66.5%
Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond, British Columbia mayoral election?Yes 11.5%
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond, British Columbia mayoral election?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $14.4KWill Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 87%
Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent
K 6.5K contractsWill Taylor Wright receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Taylor Wright receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 59.5%
Will Taylor Wright receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 33.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 30.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October?
K 6.4K contractsWill Patient Zero be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Cleveland! be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 9th District margin of victory
K 6.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont State Senate winner?
K 6.4K contractsWho will win the Vermont Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Vermont Senate? (Republican party)Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?
PM $14.3KWill Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PM $14.3K · K 47.3K contractsWill Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.2%Rules differK Yes 95%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 95%
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Kostadin Kostadinov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 87.5%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NV-02 House election: Teresa Benitez-Thompson vote percent
K 6.4K contractsWill Teresa Benitez-Thompson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-02 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC