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Showing 433-480 of 818 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will Madison fall below 30°F before November 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill Madison fall below 30°F from issuance through Oct 31, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 20?
PM $1.4KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026?
K 6.9K contractsRain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 59%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 13%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 20?
PM $1.4KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 56.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Fantasy Points
K 6.9K contractsGeorge Pickens: Over 13.6 fantasy pointsYes 50.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: Over 12.2 fantasy pointsYes 48%
Brandon Aubrey: Over 8.8 fantasy pointsYes 48%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 20?
PM $1.4KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 18, 2026?
K 6.7K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 19?
PM $1.3KWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 19°C on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 18°C on October 19?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 19?Yes 48.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 6.7K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 35.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 12.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 20?
PM $1.3KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 88.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
PM $1.3KWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 25.5%
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 15.5%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 14%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 18, 2026?
K 6.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%
Will the maximum temperature be <63° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $1.3KWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 19?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on October 19?Yes 45%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Streams
K 6.5K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 48%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 32.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 27%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 20?
PM $1.2KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?Yes 40%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?Yes 14.9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026?
K 6.0K contractsRain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 48%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 7 inches)Yes 19%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 18.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 20?
PM $1.1KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?Yes 66.5%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?Yes 61%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?Yes 40%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 20?
PM $935.02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 20?Yes 36.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 20?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 20?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 5.6K contractsWill Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 20?
PM $881.89Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?Yes 26%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
K 5.6K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.0°C?Yes 92%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 5.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.0°C and 1.4°C?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on October 18?
PM $878.14Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on October 18?Yes 77%
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on October 18?Yes 23.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 3°C on October 18?Yes 15.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill the temperature in San Jose drop below 40°F in December 2026?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 18?
PM $837.08Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on October 18?Yes 75%
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 18?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 18?Yes 31.9%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?
K 5.5K contractsSnow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 60%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 51.5%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 42%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 18?
PM $835.66Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 18?Yes 45.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on October 18?Yes 34%
+8 more
KalshiWorld
Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform
K 5.4K contractsWill Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40.5%
Will Addison Rae perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $826.42Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 94.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on October 18?Yes 5.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
K 5.4K contractsRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 25.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 10%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 20?
PM $808.49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?Yes 36.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 20?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
K 5.3K contracts250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 97%
500 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 72.5%
750 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
PM $794.77Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 43.5%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 34%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Karachi on October 19?
PM $729.19Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C on October 19?Yes 47%
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 19?Yes 47%
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 23°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
K 5.1K contractsAA Intelligence Index above 65 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 81%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 65.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?
PM $687.99Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
K 4.8K contractsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2040?Yes 71%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2035?Yes 60%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2030?Yes 42%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Milan on October 18?
PM $654.99Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C or below on October 18?Yes 45%
+8 more
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Player Longest Reception
K 4.8K contractsGeorge Pickens: longest reception over 23.5 yardsYes 52.5%
Matthew Golden: longest reception over 24.5 yardsYes 52%
MarShawn Lloyd: longest reception over 7.5 yardsYes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Moscow on October 18?
PM $632.99Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on October 18?Yes 50%
+8 more
KalshiTech
When will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Copper Mountain open before Nov 8, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?
PM $614.25Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph?Yes 95%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 100 mph?Yes 95%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 105 mph?Yes 95%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Snowbird open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Snowbird open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Snowbird open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Snowbird open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $559.99Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
K 4.6K contractsWill the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 18?
PM $511.69Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 7°C on October 18?Yes 45%
+8 more