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Showing 433-480 of 1,161 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October
K 28.4K contractsWill Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 87 ?Yes 96.5%
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 89 ?Yes 91.5%
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 90 ?Yes 82.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Fantasy Points
K 28.3K contractsAshton Jeanty: Over 13.9 fantasy pointsYes 72.5%
Tyler Bass: Over 8.1 fantasy pointsYes 64.5%
Dalton Kincaid: Over 10.7 fantasy pointsYes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.1KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30%
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New main Fast & Furious film officially announced in 2026?
K 27.9K contractsWill a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PM $18.6KAnthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 33.5%
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.8%
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?
K 27.3K contractsWill OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 87.5%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 9.5%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.4KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 49%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast?
K 27.3K contractsWill Elon Musk be cast in the next Superman?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT-7 released by...?
PM $18.2KGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 83%
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.2K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
PM $17.8KSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Yes 23%
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
K 27.1K contractsWill Anthropic be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 91.5%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 3%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PM $17.7KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which central banks will hike before 2027?
K 26.9K contractsWill the Bank of England raise the Bank Rate before 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will the Bank of Canada raise its target for the overnight rate before 2027?Yes 73%
Will the Riksbank raise its policy rate before 2027?Yes 51.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026
PM $17.5KWill Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 85%
Will Hayden Panettiere rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 77.7%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee?
K 26.8K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 97%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 96%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 95%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $16.5KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in December
K 26.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in December 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO by __?
PM $16.2KWill Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Hamdi Streams in 2026
K 26.2K contractsWill Hamdi have 27500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Hamdi have 52500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 53%
Will Hamdi have 47500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 52%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
PM $15.6KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 4.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
K 25.3K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (ChatGPT)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (Claude)Yes 41%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (DeepSeek)Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
PM $15.4KWill Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 91.5%
Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 12.8%
Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?;Yes 5.4%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 24.8K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 97%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 57%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
AWS service disrupted by...?
PM $15.0KAWS service disrupted by November 30?Yes 41.5%
AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes 36.5%
AWS service disrupted by September 30?Yes 14%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3
K 24.6K contractsWill Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 82% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 94%
Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 82.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 81%
Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 83% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 63%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
PM $14.9KWill Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Yes 46.5%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Yes 44.5%
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models
K 24.6K contractsWill Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 42.5%
Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 30%
Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 22.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $14.9KWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99%
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will Tencent have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 24.2K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (SZA)Yes 6%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Tyla)Yes 4.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 4%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.9KWill Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 66%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 58%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in December
K 24.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in December 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in December 2026?Yes 89%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Plague case in US by December 31?
PM $14.4KPlague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
UFC: Who Will Manel Kape Fight Next?
PM $14.4KWill Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Yes 92%
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Yes 5.5%
Will Manel Kape fight Tatsuro Taira next?Yes 3.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 24.0K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 7%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in November
K 23.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?Yes 90%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in November 2026?Yes 90%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in November 2026?Yes 88.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
PM $14.2KWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Visual Effects
K 23.6K contracts2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations? (Dune: Part Three)Yes 92%
2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 88%
2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 86.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.2KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 23.6K contractsWill Fuerza Regida have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Fuerza Regida have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Fuerza Regida have above 14M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.1KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Yes 32%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Savannah container volume in 2026
K 23.5K contractsWill the Port of Savannah’s total container volume for 2026 be above 5.4 million TEUs?Yes 94.5%
Will the Port of Savannah’s total container volume for 2026 be above 5.6 million TEUs?Yes 79.5%
Will the Port of Savannah’s total container volume for 2026 be above 5.8 million TEUs?Yes 39.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $14.0KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 28%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 27.4%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC