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Showing 5,617-5,664 of 8,369 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
K 2.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $387.46Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
K 2.2K contractsEU long-term budget deal before September 2027?Yes 75.5%
EU long-term budget deal before July 2027?Yes 56.5%
EU long-term budget deal before April 2027?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $381.82Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 57%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?
K 2.2K contractsWill Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 15%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Panama Canal effectively closed by...?
PM $380.29Panama Canal effectively closed by December 31?Yes 7.5%
Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?Yes 3.5%
Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31?Yes 1.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Christine Drazan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $375.21Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 66%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 72%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?
PM $369.05First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?Yes 75.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Fed funds rate at end of 2034
K 2.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%?Yes 75.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%?Yes 70%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?Yes 68%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2035 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PM $364.65Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

South Carolina Governor margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $362.84Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-01 House election: Barb Regnitz vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Barb Regnitz receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 93%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 86%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $360Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 16th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 88.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
PM $354.77Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?
PM $354.14 · K 1.1K contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
K 2.2K contractsWill the US agree to or announce a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 96%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?
PM $349.66Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?Yes 30%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Rivian (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $346.6Will Rivian (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 25.1%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana Senate election: Jamie Davis vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Jamie Davis receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jamie Davis receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Jamie Davis receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 86%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $341.26Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 79%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill Thriller be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 50%
Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 50%
Will The Great Divide be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $338.49Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 34th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 52%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
PM $336.37First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?Yes 80%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 6900000?Yes 87%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7300000?Yes 76%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7700000?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $335.34Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election by 35% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2100000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2300000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2500000?Yes 76%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $334.12Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?
PM $330.26First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?Yes 96%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $328.66Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election?Yes 37.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Alan Wilson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Haiti elections delayed again?
PM $328.49Haiti elections delayed again?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Vermont gas prices tomorrow
K 2.1K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3450?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3700?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3650?Yes 98%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $307.71Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 73%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

PPI YoY in October
K 2.1K contractsWill the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.0%?Yes 93%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.1%?Yes 88.5%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.2%?Yes 86%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of October?
PM $305.5Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of October?Yes 94.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of October?Yes 92.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of October?Yes 92.7%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
K 2.1K contractsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034?Yes 30%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?Yes 20%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?Yes 8.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
PM $304.11Tom Kean Jr.out as US Rep before term ends?Yes 29%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 3800000?Yes 93%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4000000?Yes 88%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4200000?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $302.9Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC