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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 577-624 of 1,236 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.8K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 57%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.8%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $6.5KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 38%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 32%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $6.5KWill the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes 62.5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Yes 49%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 17.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in June 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in June 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $6.2KWill Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.6K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 10.9%Yes 76%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 9.9%Yes 57%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $6.2KWill GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Yes 33%
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes 23%
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?Yes 23%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
PM $5.9KSSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
K 17.4K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (El-Sayed)Yes 93.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Dividend / Stimulus)Yes 89.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $5.9KWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 39%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 11.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
K 17.0K contractsWill A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement be released before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 51%
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
K 16.8K contractsWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (GLP-1)Yes 84%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 83%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (Produce)Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 51%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PM $5.8KOpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 7%
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 6%
Google announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
K 16.7K contractsWhat will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)Yes 95.5%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation)Yes 94%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)Yes 91%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketMentions
What foods will Trump mention in October?
PM $5.6KWill Trump say "Burger" in October?Yes 54%
Will Trump say "Cake" in October?Yes 53%
Will Trump say "Chicken" in October?Yes 51.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PM $5.4KUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
K 16.6K contractsWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
America.gov removed by October 31?
PM $5.4KAmerica.gov removed by October 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Muse on Meta glasses by...?
PM $5.2KWill Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?Yes 45%
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 74%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many Codex resets week of October 12?
PM $5.1KWill there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 83.5%
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?
PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contractsOpenAI acquired before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 16.3K contractsWill KATSEYE have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in October
K 16.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in October 2026?Yes 98%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PM $4.9KFrontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?
PM $4.7K · K 1.5K contractsAnother Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34%Rules differK Yes 36.5%
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Dec 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 13.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
K 15.9K contractsWill Erling Haaland be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 48%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 8.5%
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 17%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?
PM $4.6KNext GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 82%
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 43%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PM $4.5KDario Amodei arrested by December 31?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
K 15.5K contractsWhat will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (International)Yes 90%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Revenue Guidance)Yes 84.5%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Maven)Yes 82%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PM $4.3KCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $4.3KWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027?Yes 83%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?Yes 77%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 3.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press?
K 15.5K contractsWhat will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Starlink)Yes 99%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Fund / Funding)Yes 6.5%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (NATO)Yes 3.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok (Web) Outage by...?
PM $4.0KGrok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3
K 15.5K contractsWill Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 83%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?
PM $3.7KWill Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $42B?Yes 76%
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?Yes 72.5%
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $46B?Yes 45%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Post Malone: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 15.4K contractsWill Post Malone have above 5.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 93%
Will Post Malone have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will Post Malone have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Meta headcount above __ in Q3?
PM $3.6KWill Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 66000?Yes 90.6%
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?Yes 75.5%
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 70000?Yes 45.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC