Browse prediction markets

Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Politics Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech Science Health World Clear categories

Showing 673-720 of 1,161 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiHealth

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

K 11.7K contracts

Will any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Where will it rain on October 18?

PM $1.7K

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 18?Yes 99.5%

Will it rain in New York, NY on October 18?Yes 49.5%

Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 18?Yes 49.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

K 11.7K contracts

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40%

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37.5%

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 35%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

PolymarketTech

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

PM $1.6K

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiCrypto

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

K 11.6K contracts

Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%

Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%

Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

PM $1.6K

Will Elon post "Border" or "Borders" on X this week?Yes 42%

Will Elon post "India" on X this week?Yes 41.5%

Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Yes 31.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?

K 11.6K contracts

Will United Kingdom officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%

Will Ukraine officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%

Will Sweden officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%

+35 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

PM $1.5K

Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 85.9%

Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026?Yes 19.3%

Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 18.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?

K 11.4K contracts

Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 70%

Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25%

Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 24.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

PM $1.5K

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?Yes 85.5%

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $17.0B?Yes 73.5%

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $18.0B?Yes 32%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?

K 11.3K contracts

Will O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?Yes 96.5%

1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

PM $1.5K

Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%

Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in December

K 11.1K contracts

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in December 2026?Yes 87.5%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 67%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.75 in December 2026?Yes 50%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

PM $1.3K

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $33.5B?Yes 90.5%

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $35.0B?Yes 77.5%

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $38.0B?Yes 31.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

PM $1.3K

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 30.5%

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 24%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Apple headcount in 2026

K 11.0K contracts

Will Apple Inc. report above 164000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 92%

Will Apple Inc. report above 166000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 86%

Will Apple Inc. report above 168000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 68%

+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

PolymarketTech

$Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?$

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

PM $1.3K

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?Yes 74.5%

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

K 10.8K contracts

Will Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%

Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?

PM $1.2K

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?Yes 49.5%

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?

K 10.8K contracts

Will North Carolina’s employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for December 2026 be above 26,500 jobs?Yes 40.5%

1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?

PM $1.2K

Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?Yes 52.5%

Will JUUL relaunch Cucumber flavor by 2027?Yes 51%

Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?Yes 44%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Spotify premium subscribers in 2026

K 10.7K contracts

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 324 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 322 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 308 million premium subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%

+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

PM $1.2K

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $20B?Yes 85%

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $21B?Yes 69%

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Yes 57.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)

K 10.6K contracts

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.7%Yes 49%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

PM $1.1K

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 84%

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in October

K 10.6K contracts

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in October 2026?Yes 50%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

PM $1.1K

Will OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026

K 10.6K contracts

Will Training Season (Live) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%

Will TRALALA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%

Will Shararat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

New MAI thinking model released by...?

PM $1.1K

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Yes 69.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

K 10.6K contracts

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC

PolymarketTech

Another Elon baby by December 31?

PM $1.1K

Another Elon baby by December 31?Yes 11.7%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

K 10.6K contracts

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?Yes 40%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC

PolymarketTech

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

PM $1.0K

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Yes 70%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiHealth

Hims subscribers in Q3

K 10.4K contracts

Will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. report Above 2.95 million subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%

Will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. report Above 3 million subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 79%

Will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. report Above 3.05 million subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 49%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above __?

PM $1.0K

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?Yes 74.5%

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.0B?Yes 29.5%

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.2B?Yes 20%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

United Airlines passengers in Q3

K 10.4K contracts

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.5 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.25 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

+16 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

What will Meta say during their next earnings call?

PM $995.45

Will Meta say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes 92%

Will Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call?Yes 92%

Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call?Yes 89.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Browse prediction markets

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 20

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

Where will it rain on October 18?

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in December

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

Apple headcount in 2026

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?

Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?

Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?

Spotify premium subscribers in 2026

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in October

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026

New MAI thinking model released by...?

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

Hims subscribers in Q3

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above __?

United Airlines passengers in Q3

What will Meta say during their next earnings call?