Politics prediction markets
6,943 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,153-1,200 of 6,943 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NE-02 House winner?
PM $65.4K · K 82.6K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NE-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 93.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NE-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.6%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
K 26.3K contractsWill ICE announce a change to its official name before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo
K 26.3K contractsTexas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?Yes 47%
Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?Yes 31%
Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?Yes 27%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?
PM $65.3KWill Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes 97.4%
Will Anna Jähnke be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes 1.8%
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes 1.1%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics
GA-02 House winner?
K 26.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for GA-02?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for GA-02?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
PM $65.2KWill the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes 92.2%
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes 7%
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes 0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
K 26.1K contractsWill Proposition 136 pass?Yes 81%
Will Initiative #85 pass?Yes 74%
Will Amendment 85 pass?Yes 72%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PM $65.1KWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes 40%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Yes 29.3%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Yes 15.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Guam Governor winner?
K 26.1K contractsWho will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? (Therese Terlaje)Yes 73%
Who will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? (Tony Ada)Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-05 House Election Winner
PM $65.0KWill the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?Yes 97%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin Governor election: David Crowley vote percent
K 26.1K contractsWill David Crowley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Crowley receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 92%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
PM $64.8KWill any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 21%
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
K 25.9K contractsWill the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 21.5%
Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 10%
Will the President try to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand legislative election winner?
PM $64.6KWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 53.5%
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 45.5%
Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 0.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
K 25.8K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Arizona?Yes 55%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Arizona?Yes 19.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Arizona?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-05 House Election Winner
PM $64.3KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?Yes 97.7%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Number of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026?
K 25.8K contractsWill the number of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026 be at least 2?Yes 37.5%
Will the number of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026 be at least 3?Yes 35.5%
Will the number of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026 be at least 4?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-11 House Election Winner
PM $64.3KWill the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?
K 25.7K contractsWill Amendment 3 pass?Yes 94.5%
Will Amendment 4 pass?Yes 77.5%
Will Amendment 1 pass?Yes 76.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $64.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?Yes 95.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 1.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MN-02 House winner?
PM $64.1K · K 6.9K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for MN-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for MN-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 5.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
K 25.7K contractsWill Andris Kulbergs become Prime Minister of Latvia following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 92%
Will Viktors Valainis become Prime Minister of Latvia following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 3.5%
Will Jūlija Stepaņenko become Prime Minister of Latvia following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 3.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
F1 Action of the Year Award Winner
K 25.6K contractsWill Max Verstappen win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season?Yes 48.5%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season?Yes 22%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season?Yes 8.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will NATO countries clash with each other by...?
PM $63.5KWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2028?Yes 18.5%
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-06 House winner?
K 25.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MN-06?Yes 94%
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-06?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-26 House Election Winner
PM $63.4KWill the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Yes 95.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo
PM $63.3K · K 127.6K contractsWill Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
Kalshi: Alaska combo: Democratic sweep?
Related contracts
PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
Kalshi: Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?
Related contracts
PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 68%
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
Kalshi: Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
K 25.5K contractsWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
K 25.5K contractsWill Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?
PM $63.3KWill Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-13 House winner?
K 25.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-13?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-13?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-04 House Election Winner
PM $63.1KWill the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?
K 25.5K contractsWill the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 25.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 9.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Winner
PM $62.8KWill the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?Yes <0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December
PM $62.7K · K 31.5K contractsWill the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82.3%Rules differK Yes 80.5%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
Related contracts
PM Yes 18%Rules differK Yes 15%
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
IL-04 House winner?
K 25.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-04?Yes 94%
Will Chris Getty win the House race for IL-04?Yes 5.5%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-04?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
K 25.4K contractsWill Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 38%
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-01 House Election Winner
PM $62.6KWill the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?Yes 98.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-01 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland State Senate District 2 winner?
K 25.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 Maryland State Senate District 2 general election? (Paul Corderman)Yes 92%
Who will win the 2026 Maryland State Senate District 2 general election? (Eric Van Buren)Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-02 House Election Winner
PM $62.2KWill the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?Yes 97.5%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-04 Democratic nominee?
K 25.1K contractsWill Conrad Cable be the Democratic nominee for LA-04?Yes 7.3%
Will Matt Gromlich be the Democratic nominee for LA-04?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AK-AL House Election Winner
PM $62.1KWill the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes 85.5%
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?Yes 14.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes 1.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory
K 25.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-04 House Election Winner
PM $62.1KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?Yes 95.3%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin?
K 25.0K contractsWill Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 32.5%
Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 24.5%
Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 21.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?
PM $62.0KWill Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?Yes 23%
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?
K 25.0K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Stock Market)Yes 93.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-09 House Election Winner
PM $61.5KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC