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Showing 1,249-1,296 of 1,662 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate and Weather
Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
K 2.0K contractsHDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?Yes 55%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?Yes 50.5%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PM $55.87Will Elon post "SpaceX" on X this week?Yes 94.5%
Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?Yes 93.5%
Will Elon post "Roadster" on X this week?Yes 62%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?
K 2.0K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit rule affirms the April 8, 2025 preliminary injunction as it applies to the Oval Office, Air Force One or Mar-a-Lago?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
PM $54.09Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 20?Yes 44%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 20?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta ad impressions growth in Q3
K 2.0K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 8% ad impressions growth in Q3 2026?Yes 50%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 10% ad impressions growth in Q3 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 12% ad impressions growth in Q3 2026?Yes 37.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 20?
PM $48Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 8°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 10°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 18?
PM $44Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on October 18?Yes 50%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 2026)
K 2.0K contractsWill Justin Bieber have above 15.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 49%
Will Justin Bieber have above 15.75M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 48%
Will Justin Bieber have above 16M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 29%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $42.12Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 57°F or below on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
K 1.9K contractsWill Nicole Kidman rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026?Yes 49%
Will bloodstream rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026?Yes 49%
Will WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026?Yes 48.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026
PM $40Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 89.5%
Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026?
K 1.9K contractsRain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 46.5%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
PM $39.87Will Apple (AAPL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
K 1.9K contractsWhich country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (United States)Yes 61%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (China)Yes 26%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (France)Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 19, 2026?
PM $36.36Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 6.1 or more?Yes 22.5%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Yes 17.5%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be under 5.3?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 1.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.75 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?
PM $36.23Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 41.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027
K 1.8K contractsWill Tesla report Above 8 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q1 2027?Yes 93%
Will Tesla report Above 10 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q1 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla report Above 12 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q1 2027?Yes 65.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?
PM $35Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.8K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 82%
Will the minimum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the minimum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?
PM $35Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 12°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 1.8K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in February 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.50 in February 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in February 2027?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $30Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 60°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 42-43°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
K 1.8K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce the removal or replacement of the Renewables Obligation Certificate buy-out fund redistribution mechanism before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 46%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 20%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the adoption of an inflation index other than CPI for the Renewables Obligation buy-out price before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 19?
PM $30Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
K 1.8K contractsWill OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 69%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 52.5%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on October 20?
PM $30Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
K 1.7K contractsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2034?Yes 79.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 75%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 20?
PM $30Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 43°F or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 62°F or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 46-47°F on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
EPL: Managers out before June 1, 2027
K 1.7K contractsWill Michael Carrick cease to be manager of Manchester United before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 88%
Will Pierre Sage cease to be manager of Crystal Palace before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will Roberto De Zerbi cease to be manager of Tottenham before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 57.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 19?
PM $18Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 64°F or higher on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 46-47°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions (Protected)
K 1.7K contractsGermie Bernard: 2+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 3+ receptions (Protected)Yes 65%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 2+ receptions (Protected)Yes 65%
+77 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 19?
PM $13.43Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 9°C or below on October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or higher on October 19?Yes 36%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 1.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.50 in March 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in March 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.00 in March 2027?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 20?
PM $12Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 20?Yes 33.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
WR Fantasy Football Week 6 Top 5?
K 1.7K contractsChristian Watson: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 54%
Jahan Dotson: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
Omar Cooper Jr.: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
+54 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Denver on October 19?
PM $10Will the lowest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?
PM $10Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 5°C or below on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Coding AI this week
K 1.7K contractsTop Coding AI this week? (Claude)Yes 89.5%
Top Coding AI this week? (Gemini)Yes 47%
Top Coding AI this week? (ChatGPT)Yes 25%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 20?
PM $10Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 37°F or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.7K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the minimum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?
PM $5.09Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or higher on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -4°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -3°C on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 20?
PM $3Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Players to Make One Three-Pointer this Season
K 1.7K contractsAndre Drummond to make at least 1 three-pointerYes 93.5%
Mitchell Robinson to make at least 1 three-pointerYes 50%
Walker Kessler to make at least 1 three-pointerYes 49.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on October 19?
PM $1Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on October 19?Yes 33%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC