Politics prediction markets
6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,633-1,680 of 6,940 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota State Senate winner?
K 15.8K contractsWho will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 89%
Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
PM $42.7KWill Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes 99.3%
Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes 0.6%
Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes 0.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Poland rate decision in November
K 15.7K contractsWill the Narodowy Bank Polski maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?Yes 76.5%
Will the Narodowy Bank Polski hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?Yes 19.5%
Will the Narodowy Bank Polski cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PM $42.6KWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 52.5%
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 46.5%
Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 0.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Philippine House winner?
K 15.7K contractsWho will win the next Philippine House election? (Lakas)Yes 40%
Who will win the next Philippine House election? (NUP)Yes 18%
Who will win the next Philippine House election? (NPC)Yes 13.7%
+2 moreNext deadline May 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-05 House Election Winner
PM $42.5KWill the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?Yes 89.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?
K 15.7K contractsWill Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?Yes 90.5%
Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?Yes 57%
Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?Yes 55%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PM $42.5KOPEC dissolves in 2026?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IA-04 House winner?
K 15.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IA-04?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for IA-04?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-04 House Election Winner
PM $42.5KWill the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-07 House winner?
PM $42.3K · K 66.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-07 House election? (Doris Matsui)
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.3%Rules differK Yes 64.5%
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-07 House election? (Doris Matsui)
Related contracts
PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 64.5%
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-07 House election? (Mai Vang)
Related contracts
PM Yes 37%Rules differK Yes 35.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-01 House election: Jordan Maggio vote percent
K 15.6K contractsWill Jordan Maggio receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-01 House election?Yes 6%
Will Jordan Maggio receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-01 House election?Yes 6%
Will Jordan Maggio receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-01 House election?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?
K 15.5K contractsWill Donald Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-03 House Election Winner
PM $42.2KWill the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KS-03 House winner?
K 15.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for KS-03?Yes 96.2%
Will Republican win the House race for KS-03?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-22 House Election Winner
PM $42.0KWill the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?Yes 94%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-22 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
K 15.4K contractsWill Summer Lee be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?Yes 32.5%
Will Chris Deluzio be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?Yes 19%
Will Conor Lamb be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?Yes 14.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NV-02 House Election Winner
PM $42.0KWill the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes 72.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US trade deficit for 2026?
K 15.4K contractsWill US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170 billion?Yes 91%
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6 billion and 119.9 billion?Yes 3.5%
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95 billion and 104.9 billion?Yes 3%
+9 moreNext deadline May 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-14 House Election Winner
PM $41.9KWill the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-14 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-03 House winner?
K 15.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AL-03?Yes 98.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-03?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-05 House Election Winner
PM $41.8KWill the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?Yes 95.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taylor Swift · Weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026
K 15.3K contractsWill Taylor Swift spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift spend 6 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Taylor Swift spend 7 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 46%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-25 House Election Winner
PM $41.7KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?Yes 97%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-25 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
K 15.3K contractsWill Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)?Yes 50%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-16 House Election Winner
PM $41.7KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-01 House winner?
K 15.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-01?Yes 95.3%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-01?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
PM $41.6KWill the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?Yes 54%
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
K 15.3K contractsWill Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 74.5%
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tocantins Governor Election Winner
PM $41.4KWill Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes 76.5%
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes 22%
Will Ataides de Oliveira win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes <0.1%
+4 more
KalshiTech
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
K 15.3K contractsWill Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 58.5%
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-08 House Election Winner
PM $41.3KWill the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-05 House winner?
K 15.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for LA-05?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-05?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Piura Mayoral Election Winner
PM $41.2KWill Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Yes 94%
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?Yes 5.2%
Will Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot win the next Piura mayoral elections?Yes 2.3%
+12 more
KalshiPolitics
GA-01 House winner?
K 15.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-01?Yes 87.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-01?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-04 House Election Winner
PM $41.0KWill the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-04 House seat?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Colombia rate decision in October
PM $40.9K · K 27.8K contractsWill the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República maintain the current rate at the October Policy Rate Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 55.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República hike 1-25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 38%Rules differK Yes 34.5%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República hike more than 25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.8%Rules differK Yes 4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-52 House winner?
K 15.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-52?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-52?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?
K 15.2K contractsWill the People's Party and Vox combined receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 48.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-12 House Election Winner
PM $40.9KWill the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-12 House seat?Yes 0.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?
K 15.1K contractsWill the Department of Justice (DOJ) release Data Set 13 (pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $40.8KWill Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes 77.5%
Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes 10.3%
Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes 4.7%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3
K 15.0K contractsWill StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $2.3 billion gross merchandise sales in Q3 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $2.4 billion gross merchandise sales in Q3 2026?Yes 57%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion gross merchandise sales in Q3 2026?Yes 22.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-03 House Election Winner
PM $40.7KWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?Yes 97.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-03 House seat?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-16 House election: John Wilson vote percent
K 15.0K contractsWill John Wilson receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-16 House election?Yes 13%
Will John Wilson receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-16 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will John Wilson receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-16 House election?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-11 House Election Winner
PM $40.6KWill the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?Yes 95.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Trump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026?
K 15.0K contractsWill the President's approval rating be between 38.7 and 38.9 according to RealClearPolitics?Yes 23%
Will the President's approval rating be between 38.4 and 38.6 according to RealClearPolitics?Yes 21%
Will the President's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.2 according to RealClearPolitics?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by...?
PM $40.5KWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC