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Showing 1,681-1,728 of 1,879 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiCompanies
Tech layoff rate in September
K 318.06 contractsTech layoff rate above 0.8% in Sep 2026?Yes 85%
Tech layoff rate above 1.0% in Sep 2026?Yes 75.5%
Tech layoff rate above 1.2% in Sep 2026?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Ulta comparable sales in Q3
K 306.77 contractsWill Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 2% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?Yes 93%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 2.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?Yes 84%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?Yes 69%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
K 304.79 contractsWill China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 be above 1,400 million barrels?Yes 80.5%
Will China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 be above 1,450 million barrels?Yes 55.5%
Will China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 be above 1,500 million barrels?Yes 24.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Affirm Credit Card Spend in October 2026
K 300 contractsWill Affirm Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 110 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Affirm Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 130 ?Yes 81%
Will Affirm Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 160 ?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
K 300 contractsWill the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 92%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 88%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
France credit rating downgrade in 2026?
K 298.64 contractsWill a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?Yes 73.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will South Carolina transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?
K 293 contractsWill South Carolina Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 be above 53,600 jobs?Yes 89.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3
K 287 contractsWill Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 200 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 202 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 2026?Yes 78%
Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 204 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 2026?Yes 62%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP
K 283.74 contracts2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP above $28,000?Yes 97%
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP above $28,500?Yes 80.5%
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP above $29,000?Yes 22.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
K 278.55 contractsWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 91%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dutch Bros total shops in fiscal 2026
K 273.98 contractsWill Dutch Bros Inc. report Above 1300 total shops in fiscal 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Dutch Bros Inc. report Above 1310 total shops in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Dutch Bros Inc. report Above 1320 total shops in fiscal 2026?Yes 83.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 20, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3
K 261.78 contractsWill Sezzle Inc. report Above $1.36 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 80%
Will Sezzle Inc. report Above $1.38 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 55%
Will Sezzle Inc. report Above $1.4 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 30%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q3
K 260.96 contractsWill Figma, Inc. report Above 1725 paid customers >$100k arr in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will Figma, Inc. report Above 1750 paid customers >$100k arr in Q3 2026?Yes 80%
Will Figma, Inc. report Above 1775 paid customers >$100k arr in Q3 2026?Yes 55%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026
K 253.17 contractsWill Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.5% of GDP?Yes 96%
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.0% of GDP?Yes 95%
Will Italy’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -3.5% of GDP?Yes 88.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
K 252.59 contractsJordan Love: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 91.5%
Dak Prescott: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 91.5%
Jordan Love: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US nominal GDP growth in 2035
K 244.22 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?Yes 95%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?Yes 91%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?Yes 86%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2036 UTC
KalshiCompanies
US Leading Economic Index change in September
K 237 contractsWill the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for September 2026 be above -0.5%?Yes 97%
Will the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for September 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 88.5%
Will the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for September 2026 be above -0.3%?Yes 84.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report
K 232.06 contractsMortgage applications change above 2% in the next MBA report?Yes 53.5%
Mortgage applications change above 0% in the next MBA report?Yes 50.5%
Mortgage applications change above −8% in the next MBA report?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia film and television production spending in FY2027
K 229.89 contractsWill Georgia film and television production spending for FY2027 be above $1.5 billion?Yes 91.5%
Will Georgia film and television production spending for FY2027 be above $2.0 billion?Yes 54.5%
Will Georgia film and television production spending for FY2027 be above $2.5 billion?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Aug 23, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New England vs Chicago: Touchdowns
K 229.64 contractsCHI Bears D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 10.5%
NE Patriots D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
K 226 contractsWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 92%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 90%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
K 226 contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 88%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 84%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 78%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3
K 222.38 contractsWill Sea Limited report Above 69 million garena quarterly paying users in Q3 2026?Yes 89%
Will Sea Limited report Above 72 million garena quarterly paying users in Q3 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will Sea Limited report Above 75 million garena quarterly paying users in Q3 2026?Yes 33.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026?
K 220.86 contractsFear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026? (Fear)Yes 49%
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026? (Extreme Fear)Yes 32%
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026? (Neutral)Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?
K 220.74 contractsUSDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026? (Above $220 billion)Yes 94.5%
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026? (Above $240 billion)Yes 83.5%
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026? (Above $250 billion)Yes 70%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?
K 219 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28179.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 93%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28259.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 92%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28429.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 91.5%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting?
K 216 contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Jan 26, 2028 meeting?Yes 82%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 26, 2028 meeting?Yes 82%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Jan 26, 2028 meeting?Yes 81.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)
K 214.51 contractsBrazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027? (Above 0.5%)Yes 90%
Brazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027? (Above 1.0%)Yes 83%
Brazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027? (Above 1.5%)Yes 68%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Natera tests processed in fiscal 2026
K 212.46 contractsWill Natera, Inc. report Above 4.2 million tests processed in fiscal 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Natera, Inc. report Above 4.25 million tests processed in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
Will Natera, Inc. report Above 4.3 million tests processed in fiscal 2026?Yes 25%
+2 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
K 209.24 contractsWill Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?Yes 95.5%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?Yes 95%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?Yes 88%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 10, 2026
K 209.14 contractsWill U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1680K?Yes 61.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1700K?Yes 60%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1690K?Yes 59%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026
K 208 contractsWill StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $9.9 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $10 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $10.1 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
K 207.32 contractsWill the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 94.5%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 90%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 85%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
K 207 contractsWill it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 58%
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Feb 15, 2027?Yes 54%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
K 204 contractsWill the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.00%?Yes 98%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.25%?Yes 96.5%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.50%?Yes 96%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Zoom customers with over $100k in TTM revenue in fiscal 2027
K 201 contractsWill Zoom Communications, Inc. report Above 4680 customers with over $100k in trailing 12-month revenue in fiscal 2027?Yes 97%
Will Zoom Communications, Inc. report Above 4720 customers with over $100k in trailing 12-month revenue in fiscal 2027?Yes 95%
Will Zoom Communications, Inc. report Above 4760 customers with over $100k in trailing 12-month revenue in fiscal 2027?Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline May 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in Q3
K 200 contractsWill BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 46800 home health average daily census in Q3 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 47000 home health average daily census in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 47200 home health average daily census in Q3 2026?Yes 64%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in March 2027
K 200 contractsWill the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.50 in March 2027?Yes 97%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.25 in March 2027?Yes 97%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.00 in March 2027?Yes 97%
+27 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in May 2027
K 200 contractsWill the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.00 in May 2027?Yes 97%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $52.75 in May 2027?Yes 97%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $52.50 in May 2027?Yes 97%
+27 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2026
K 200 contractsWill Cloudflare Inc. report Above 5150 paying customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Cloudflare Inc. report Above 5200 paying customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Cloudflare Inc. report Above 5250 paying customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 70%
+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rideshare app downloads array index in October 2026
K 200 contractsWill Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 110?Yes 50.5%
Will Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 115?Yes 50.4%
Will Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 95?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?
K 200 contractsWill a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
K 170.62 contractsWill any federal court rule rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026
K 160.8 contractsWill Dave Inc. report Above $9.3 billion extracash origination volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 86%
Will Dave Inc. report Above $9.4 billion extracash origination volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 75%
Will Dave Inc. report Above $9.5 billion extracash origination volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 60%
+4 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
K 155 contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 be above 3.0%?Yes 91%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 be above 3.5%?Yes 81%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 be above 4.0%?Yes 75%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Colorado ski-area visits increase YoY during 2026–27?
K 154.82 contractsWill Colorado statewide skier visits for the 2026–27 ski season be above 10.5 million skier visits?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ACC: Passing Touchdowns Leader
K 135.29 contractsSteve Angeli records the most passing touchdowns in the ACCYes 48.5%
Lincoln Kienholz records the most passing touchdowns in the ACCYes 47%
Darian Mensah records the most passing touchdowns in the ACCYes 37%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
K 134 contractsWill Scott Bessent announce their departure as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 54%
Will Scott Bessent announce their departure as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will Scott Bessent announce their departure as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC