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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 145-192 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
K 61.6K contractsWill a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 58.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 18?
PM $26.9KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?
K 61.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >87° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?
PM $26.9KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded
K 61.1K contractsWill Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 19?
PM $26.8KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.5K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 18?
PM $26.2KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 72%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 22%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 6.5%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 18?
PM $26.1KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes 61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 18.4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 17%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 60.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 34%
Will the maximum temperature be >61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 18?
PM $24.7KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 18?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 14.4%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 51.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 18?
PM $24.4KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
3 mkts
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
PM $24.4KWill the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Yes 59.4%
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes 17%
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 18?
PM $23.9KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 69%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 18?Yes 2.9%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How low will Lake Mead drop?
PM $23.5KWill Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Yes 53.4%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes 31.5%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Yes 8.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 18?
PM $23.3KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
K 52.4K contractsWill there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 30%
Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will there be more than 14 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
New pandemic before 2028?
PM $23.1KNew pandemic before 2028?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Nolo category?
K 51.9K contractsWill Nolo become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Nolo become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Nolo become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 18?
PM $23.0KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
2 mkts
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 18?
PM $22.4KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
K 51.4K contractsFlorida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 18?
PM $22.1KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 18?Yes 0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 50.9K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 7.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 172T tokens?Yes 6%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 18?
PM $21.3KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 18?Yes 58.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 5%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong will Champi be?
PM $21.2KWill Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?Yes 51.5%
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes 48.5%
Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PM $20.9KWill a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.7%
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 76%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 19?
PM $20.8KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
K 45.7K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?Yes 31.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 19?
PM $20.8KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?Yes 58.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 19?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 19?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 18?
PM $20.7KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 18?Yes 4%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?
K 42.4K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PM $20.6KMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18?
PM $20.6KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 18?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 18?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 18?Yes 20.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
PM $20.5KWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Yes 2.3%
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC