Browse prediction markets

Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Will James Talarico receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Webb County, Texas?Yes 97.5%

Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Webb County, Texas?Yes 97.5%

Will James Talarico receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Webb County, Texas?Yes 95.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Arizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win?

Will Katie Hobbs win Maricopa County?Yes 93%

Will Katie Hobbs win Navajo County?Yes 43%

Will Katie Hobbs win Yuma County?Yes 29%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes 87.5%

Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes 11.1%

Will Ho Chih-yung win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes 0.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Will Adam Telle be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 42.5%

Will Sean Parnell be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21%

Will Michael Obadal be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 7%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC

CA-29 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?Yes 96.6%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?Yes 3.3%

PM $30.9K · K 64.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-14 House winner?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election? (Aisha Wahab)

Related contracts

PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election? (Melissa Hernandez)

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.1%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

TX-21 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-21?Yes 95.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-21?Yes 4.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

NJ-12 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-12?Yes 97.8%

Will Republican win the House race for NJ-12?Yes 0.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

WI-08 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes 90%

Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes 10.5%

Will SNS-led list win the next Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 73%

Serbian parliamentary election winner?

K 11.7K contracts

Will Student list win the next Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 28%

2 mktsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC

NC-07 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes 85.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes 14.5%

Will any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

K 11.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?Yes 96.4%

CT-03 House Election Winner

PM $30.8K

Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?Yes 3.9%

Will Blake Lively and Taylor Swift be seen in public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year?

K 11.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?

PM $30.8K

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?Yes >99.9%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 19?Yes <0.1%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 19?Yes <0.1%

+8 more

Grammy Nominees: Best Dance Pop Recording

Grammy nominees for Best Dance Pop Recording? (New Religion)Yes 76%

Grammy nominees for Best Dance Pop Recording? (Blue Moon)Yes 66%

Grammy nominees for Best Dance Pop Recording? (DANCE...)Yes 56.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 33%

Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner

PM $30.7K

Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 28%

Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 24.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 98%

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 94.5%

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 93.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-07 House seat?Yes 96.2%

TX-07 House Election Winner

PM $30.7K

Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?Yes 1.9%

Ghana presidential election winner?

Will Asiedu Nketia win the next Ghanaian presidential election? (Asiedu Nketia)Yes 30.5%

Who will win the next Ghanian presidential election? (Mahamudu Bawumia)Yes 28%

Who will win the next Ghanian presidential election? (Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang)Yes 13.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2029 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the PA-15 House seat?Yes 95.8%

PA-15 House Election Winner

PM $30.4K

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?Yes 4.1%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent

Will PSOE receive at least 21% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 95.5%

Will PSOE receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%

Will PSOE receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 91.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?Yes 97.9%

NJ-12 House Election Winner

PM $30.4K

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-12 House seat?Yes 1.2%

PM $30.3K · K 15.9K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for CA-49?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.7%Rules differK Yes 96.1%

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CA-49?

Related contracts

PM Yes 38.1%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-49 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CA-49?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

When will Canada announce a snap election?

Will Canada announce a snap election before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 36%

Will Canada announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26%

Will Canada announce a snap election before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will data center power-cost standards become law?

Will data center power-cost standards become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 43.5%

Will data center power-cost standards become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes 75.5%

Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?

PM $30.2K

Will Behcet Barsom be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes 13.7%

Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes 3.5%

+5 more

Spanish general election: Vox vote percent

Will Vox receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97.5%

Will Vox receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97%

Will Vox receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 31.5%

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $30.2K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 27%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 23.7%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

PM $30.1K · K 6.9K contracts

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arkansas

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.2%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arkansas

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.1%Rules differK Yes 2%

Will the Democrats win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arkansas

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor on TV

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 85.5%

Will Stephen Root be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 76%

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 74.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

K 11.5K contracts

Will Patti Smith be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 67.5%

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 29%

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 13%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 19?

PM $29.7K

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Yes 99.3%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Yes 0.5%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 19?Yes 0.2%

+8 more

KalshiClimate

Hurricane Moke category?

K 11.5K contracts

Will Moke become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%

Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%

Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat?Yes 97%

MN-03 House Election Winner

PM $29.5K

Will the Republican Party win the MN-03 House seat?Yes 2.9%

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 97%

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

K 11.5K contracts

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 97%

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 96.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes 96.9%

VA-11 House Election Winner

PM $29.5K

Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes 1.8%