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Showing 2,545-2,592 of 7,888 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Shopify Inc. report Above $460 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 98%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $480 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $470 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PM $26.1KWill National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 51.5%
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 45%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance
K 10.8K contractsGrammy nominees for Best Pop Solo Performance? (hate that i made you love me)Yes 57%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Solo Performance? (The Fate of Ophelia)Yes 57%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Solo Performance? (Risk It All)Yes 55%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?
PM $26.1KNext DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes 12.5%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 10.8K contractsWill the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware for 2026 be above 26.0 thousand employees?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
EPL: Managers out before 2027
K 10.8K contractsWill Michael Carrick cease to be manager of Manchester United before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Álvaro Arbeloa cease to be manager of Fulham before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will Roberto De Zerbi cease to be manager of Tottenham before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner
PM $26.1KWill Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes 68.5%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
K 10.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?Yes 30%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026
K 10.7K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 330 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 324 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 322 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $26.0KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 38%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 13%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Dopamine Chamber: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 10.7K contractsWill Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 98.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PM $26.0KWill Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 52.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 21%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MS-04 House winner?
K 10.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MS-04?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for MS-04?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nitra Mayoral Election Winner
PM $26.0KWill Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 87.5%
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 9.5%
Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 2.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan Local Elections winner?
K 10.7K contractsWill Kuomintang win the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?Yes 68%
Will Democratic Progressive Party win the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?Yes 33.5%
Will Taiwan People’s Party win the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?Yes 2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $25.8KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 38%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 23%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 16.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Governor margin of victory
K 10.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Iowa be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 8.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Iowa be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
K 10.6K contractsWill establishing nationwide concealed carry reciprocity becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
PM $25.7KNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
K 10.6K contractsWill any individual in connection with the DOJ investigation into the 2020 election in Fulton County be charged with a crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-05 House Election Winner
PM $25.7KWill the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Indiana's 5th District margin of victory
K 10.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 52%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
PM $25.6KWill OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 66.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 31%
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 0.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in October
K 10.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in October 2026?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-14 House Election Winner
PM $25.6KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President
K 10.6K contractsWill Florentino Pérez leave from being President of Real Madrid in 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
PM $25.6KNext Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 63.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
K 10.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
PM $25.5KWill Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes 80.5%
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-01 House election: Wesley Bell vote percent
K 10.6K contractsWill Wesley Bell receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 88%
Will Wesley Bell receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 75.5%
Will Wesley Bell receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 55%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026
PM $25.5KWill The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 86%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 71.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
K 10.6K contractsWill Alani Bankhead receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 86.5%
Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 61%
Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 53%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
PM $25.5KRFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
PM $25.4KWill GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes 61.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes 24.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes 11.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
K 10.6K contractsWill Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 78.5%
Will The Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 6.5%
Will Otzma Yehudit finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 5.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 16.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
K 10.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 1%?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 4%?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 7%?Yes 60%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 18% or more?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?
K 10.5K contractsWill Bond Question 1 pass?Yes 96%
Will Bond Question 2 pass?Yes 94.5%
Will Bond Question 3 pass?Yes 84%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-12 House Election Winner
PM $25.3KWill the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will another state enact a data center moratorium?
K 10.5K contractsWill a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 73.5%
Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-02 House winner?
K 10.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-02?Yes 91.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-02?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-09 House Election Winner
PM $25.3KWill the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes 69.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC