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Showing 2,593-2,640 of 7,554 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
K 7.9K contractsWill the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-13 House Election Winner
PM $21.4KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-13 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects
K 7.9K contractsWill Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 58.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
PM $21.4KTshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 22%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maine Senate and Governor Combo
PM $21.4KWill Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 53.5%
Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?Yes 41.5%
Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
K 7.9K contractsWill Dave Bronson receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
PM $21.4KHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
K 7.9K contractsWill Proposal 3 pass?Yes 90%
Will Proposal 4 pass?Yes 86.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Alabama Senate Election: Turnout
PM $21.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 22%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 19.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
K 7.8K contractsWill legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 79.5%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Dec 25, 2026?Yes 61.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 19?
PM $21.3KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 2.5%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics

NY-12 House election: Lucian Wintrich vote percent
K 7.8K contractsWill Lucian Wintrich receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 4.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
K 7.8K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard?Yes 40%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
K 7.8K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Jasmine Crockett personally participates in at least one campaign activity, such as a rally, fundraiser, campaign advertisement, canvassing event, or phone-banking effort, in which she specifically and expressly advocates for James Talarico’s election in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 49%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PM $21.2KWill a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 97.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Drama Series
K 7.8K contractsWill Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 82.5%
Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 66%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem
PM $21.2KWill Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 97%
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 1.7%
Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 0.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa Secretary of State winner?
K 7.8K contractsWill Paul D. Pate win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 81%
Will Ryan Peterman win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Zealand Election: Turnout
PM $21.2KWill voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 35%
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 33.5%
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 22.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
K 7.7K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.5°C?Yes 85%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 7%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner
PM $21.2KWill Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes 82.5%
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?
K 7.7K contractsWill any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?
K 7.7K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 93.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 4.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $21.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-11 House winner?
K 7.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-11?Yes 90.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-11?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
PM $21.1KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-04 House winner?
K 7.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-04?Yes 97.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-04?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump nationalize elections?
PM $21.0KWill Trump nationalize elections?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oklahoma Governor margin of victory
K 7.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Oklahoma be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Oklahoma be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Oklahoma be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 58.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
K 7.7K contractsWill Jim Jordan announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will Mike Johnson announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 41%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Governor Election: Turnout
PM $21.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?Yes 30%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?Yes 8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

United States Grand Prix Main Race Winner
K 7.7K contractsMain Race: Max Verstappen winsYes 46.5%
Main Race: Andrea Kimi Antonelli winsYes 29.5%
Main Race: George Russell winsYes 8.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PM $21.0KLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season
K 7.6K contractsWill Trevor Lawrence record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 90.5%
Will Aaron Rodgers record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 83.5%
Will Tyler Shough record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 79%
+30 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan Governor election: Jocelyn Benson vote percent
K 7.6K contractsWill Jocelyn Benson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Jocelyn Benson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Jocelyn Benson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 13.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
K 7.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-03 House Election Winner
PM $20.9KWill the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)
K 7.6K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MississippiYes 87.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MississippiYes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

PA-08 House winner?
PM $20.9K · K 193.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 73%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 27.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC