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Showing 2,593-2,640 of 7,132 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

New York's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-04 House Election Winner
PM $19.6KWill the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-04 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-13 House election: Leela Gray vote percent
K 7.5K contractsWill Leela Gray receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-02 House Election Winner
PM $19.5KWill the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes 84.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
K 7.5K contractsWill Barack Obama endorse Mary Peltola in Alaska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 25%
Will Barack Obama endorse Karen Bass in Los Angeles Mayor before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Barack Obama endorse Dan Osborn in Nebraska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Regional Board Chair of Stockholm?
PM $19.5KWill Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 65.3%
Will Axel Conradi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 23.6%
Will Msciwoj Swigon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 0.6%
+11 more
KalshiPolitics

FL-20 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-20?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-20?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina's 8th District margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
K 7.4K contractsExactly 1 peopleYes 85%
Exactly 2 peopleYes 15.5%
Exactly 3 peopleYes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
K 7.4K contractsWill Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84%
Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84%
Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama
K 7.4K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-04 House election: Chris Smith vote percent
K 7.4K contractsWill Chris Smith receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Chris Smith receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 95%
Will Chris Smith receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 88%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will China abolish hukou?
K 7.4K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 15.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 10.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $19.4KWill Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 74%
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 20%
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?
K 7.4K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 1 seat in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?Yes 91%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?Yes 7.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

KATSEYE’s “WILD”: Weeks at No. 1 in 2026
K 7.4K contractsWill Wild by KATSEYE spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will Wild by KATSEYE spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 3%
Will Wild by KATSEYE spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner?
K 7.4K contractsWho will win the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election? (Nate Sheets)Yes 59.5%
Who will win the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election? (Clayton Tucker)Yes 39%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
K 7.4K contractsWill the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?Yes 37%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?Yes 25%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?Yes 11%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-14 House Election Winner
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 28th District margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 72%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-13 House Election Winner
PM $19.3KWill the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes 95.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wyoming Governor election: Kenneth Casner vote percent
K 7.4K contractsWill Kenneth Casner receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Kenneth Casner receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 81%
Will Kenneth Casner receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 68%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Peak US National Debt before 2027?
PM $19.3KWill the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?Yes 52%
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-12 House election: Jack Codiga vote percent
K 7.4K contractsWill Jack Codiga receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-12 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jack Codiga receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-12 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Jack Codiga receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-12 House election?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PM $19.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?Yes 25%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,900,000 and 4,100,000?Yes 22.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-08 House winner?
K 7.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-08?Yes 97.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-08?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent
K 7.3K contractsWill Brenton Awa receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brenton Awa receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Brenton Awa receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 35%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Secretary of State winner?
K 7.3K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Georgia?Yes 55%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Georgia?Yes 44%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $19.3KWill Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes 89%
Will Nuka Nwigbo win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.9%
Will Gabriel Pidomson win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
K 7.3K contractsWill Treg Taylor receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Treg Taylor receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Treg Taylor receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 86%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?
K 7.3K contractsWho will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election? (Brothers of Italy)Yes 56%
Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election? (Democratic Party)Yes 36%
Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election? (Five Star Movement)Yes 3.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PM $19.2KVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 7.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3400000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3600000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout
PM $19.2KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?Yes 26.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?
K 7.3K contractsWill India resume the Indus Waters Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 24.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC